CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WSU 14.8%85.2% KSU
Projected margin
KSU by 15.3
Projected total
49
80% outcome range
WSU 4 to KSU 35
Win probability
KSU 85.2%
FinalWSU 7 · KSU 34model had +15.3, off by 11.7

Current team profiles

Washington State
Kansas State

When Washington State has the ball

Passing

KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU offense
#134
KSU defense
#60
EPA comparison
-0.12
#134
0.11
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU offense
#123
KSU defense
#93
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
0.10
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU offense
#137
KSU defense
#26
Success rates
33%
#137
35%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#133
0.08
#80
EPA / play
1.22
#81
1.44
#134
Explosiveness
20%
#135
20%
#21
Havoc

When Kansas State has the ball

Passing

KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU defense
#52
KSU offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU defense
#52
KSU offense
#9
EPA comparison
0.01
#52
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU defense
#55
KSU offense
#12
Success rates
39%
#55
51%
#12
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#45
0.27
#25
EPA / play
1.24
#77
1.17
#98
Explosiveness
14%
#107
9%
#6
Havoc

Current key players

Washington State
QBCaden Pinnick
796 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
62.5244/729
LBIsaiah Hung
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
77.0
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.7102/1796
STrey Ridley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
77.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
5
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
77.6105/2969
LBGage Jones
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.7
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.3283/1796
WRTank Hawkins
10 rec · 79 yds · 0 TD
72.2192/2069
RBMaxwell Woods
188 yds · 0 TD · 5.7 YPC
71.6268/1044
Availability reports · 4
  • Tony Freeman · WRout · 2026-09-14

    Freeman has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a torn ACL.

  • Hudson Cedarland · TEout · 2026-08-23

    Cedarland is bothered by a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • CJ Toney · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Toney is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Beavers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ryan McKendry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    McKendry is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take the field against the Beavers on Saturday, Oc

Kansas State
QBJacob Knuth
7 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.089/729
LBJacobi Oliphant Jr.
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.2
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.59/1796
LBAshton Moore
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.256/1796
RBJay Harris
88 yds · 3 TD · 6.3 YPC
80.374/1044
SAdrian Maddox
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.2
Coverage
74.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
77.0125/2969
CBMicheal Graham Jr.
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.7
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
75.5177/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Will Anciaux · TEout · 2026-10-05

    Anciaux is nursing with a lower leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • John Pastore · OGout · 2026-08-21

    Pastore has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a lower leg injury.

  • Jacob Knuth · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Knuth is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Blake Barnett · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Barnett is bothered by a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Arley Morrell · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Morrell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Duff · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Duff is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Max Lovett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lovett id dealing with an arm injury and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WSU
KSU
vs
Offense
62.5
#127 of 138
QB
78.0
#69 of 138
68.2
#128 of 138
RB
76.9
#55 of 138
68.0
#109 of 138
WR
67.5
#115 of 138
63.9
#97 of 138
TE
70.9
#57 of 138
60.9
#129 of 138
OL
80.3
#4 of 138
Defense
73.1
#70 of 138
DL
73.0
#72 of 138
73.9
#72 of 138
LB
83.5
#9 of 138
67.8
#119 of 138
DB
71.4
#78 of 138
Common opponents