Passing
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU offense
- #6
- KSU defense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
0.11
#60
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
HOU 51.3%48.7% KSU
- Projected margin
- HOU by 0.2
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- HOU 21 to KSU 20
- Win probability
- HOU 51.3%
FinalHOU 35 · KSU 16model had -0.2, off by 18.8
Current team profiles
Houston
Kansas StateWhen Houston has the ball
Rushing
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU offense
- #21
- KSU defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU offense
- #2
- KSU defense
- #26
Success rates
55%
#2
35%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.36
#5
0.08
#80
EPA / play
1.09
#127
1.44
#134
Explosiveness
10%
#7
20%
#21
Havoc
When Kansas State has the ball
Passing
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU defense
- #93
- KSU offense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU defense
- #33
- KSU offense
- #9
EPA comparison
-0.05
#33
0.27
#9
Rush EPA
Drive success
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU defense
- #55
- KSU offense
- #12
Success rates
39%
#55
51%
#12
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.27
#25
EPA / play
1.32
#111
1.17
#98
Explosiveness
20%
#19
9%
#6
Havoc
Current key players
HoustonQBLuke Carney
— yds · — TD · — INT
90.420/729
WRJack Newhouse
— rec · — yds · — TD
92.44/2069
LBChristian Brathwaite
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.0
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
91.17/1796
RBJohn Hebert
65 yds · 1 TD · 13.0 YPC
88.715/1044
TEWyatt Herbel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 83.4
- Penalties
- 0
88.65/1017
DBJalen Mayo
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 78.7
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.5
- Missed tackles
- 3
83.832/2969
Availability reports · 6
- John Hebert · RBout · 2026-10-05
Hebert is laid up with a lower leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Muizz Tounkara · WRout · 2026-08-11
Tounkara is nursing with a foot injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Jacory Thurman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Thurman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeffrey Strozier Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Strozier is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th
- Evan Noel · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Noel is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- JayShon Ridgle · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Ridgle is dealing with undisclosed injury, it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
Kansas StateQBJacob Knuth
7 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.089/729
LBJacobi Oliphant Jr.
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
90.59/1796
LBAshton Moore
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.256/1796
RBJay Harris
88 yds · 3 TD · 6.3 YPC
80.374/1044
SAdrian Maddox
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.0125/2969
CBMicheal Graham Jr.
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.7
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.5177/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Will Anciaux · TEout · 2026-10-05
Anciaux is nursing with a lower leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- John Pastore · OGout · 2026-08-21
Pastore has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a lower leg injury.
- Jacob Knuth · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Knuth is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Blake Barnett · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Barnett is bothered by a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Arley Morrell · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Morrell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Duff · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Duff is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Max Lovett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lovett id dealing with an arm injury and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
HOUHouston
KSUKansas State
vs
Offense
90.4
#19 of 138
QB
Quarterback
78.0
#69 of 138
87.3
#4 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.9
#55 of 138
77.3
#22 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.5
#115 of 138
88.6
#5 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.9
#57 of 138
76.2
#12 of 138
OL
Offensive line
80.3
#4 of 138
Defense
80.3
#15 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.0
#72 of 138
77.6
#40 of 138
LB
Linebackers
83.5
#9 of 138
72.8
#58 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.4
#78 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Houston
opponent
Kansas State
Hhome+6.4
CINCincinnati#59-5.0Aaway
Aaway+10.0
COLOColorado#84+9.2Aaway
Hhome+13.1
OKSTOklahoma State#52+12.3Hhome