CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TULN 4.9%95.0% KSU
Projected margin
KSU by 23.9
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
KSU 4 to KSU 43
Win probability
KSU 95.0%
FinalTULN 20 · KSU 31model had +23.9, off by 12.9

Current team profiles

Tulane
Kansas State

When Tulane has the ball

Passing

KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN offense
#119
KSU defense
#60
EPA comparison
0.04
#119
0.11
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

TULN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN offense
#55
KSU defense
#93
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.10
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN offense
#133
KSU defense
#26
Success rates
34%
#133
35%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#97
0.08
#80
EPA / play
1.57
#1
1.44
#134
Explosiveness
20%
#132
20%
#21
Havoc

When Kansas State has the ball

Passing

KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN defense
#109
KSU offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.29
#109
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN defense
#107
KSU offense
#9
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN defense
#81
KSU offense
#12
Success rates
42%
#81
51%
#12
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#112
0.27
#25
EPA / play
1.20
#62
1.17
#98
Explosiveness
11%
#135
9%
#6
Havoc

Current key players

Tulane
QBZeon Chriss-Gremillion
64 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.4134/729
RBJohnnie Daniels
168 yds · 2 TD · 3.9 YPC
78.996/1044
LBMakai Williams
20 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.4151/1796
LBJean Claude Joseph III
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.4
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4277/1796
WRZycarl Lewis Jr.
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
72.2189/2069
WRBredell Richardson
7 rec · 85 yds · 0 TD
71.9195/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Jamauri McClure · RBout · 2026-09-27

    McClure is managing a foot injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Zycarl Lewis Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lewis Jr. is bothered by a left injury, and his status is unknown against Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Maurice Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Antwaun Parham · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Parham is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

Kansas State
QBJacob Knuth
7 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.089/729
LBJacobi Oliphant Jr.
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.2
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.59/1796
LBAshton Moore
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.256/1796
RBJay Harris
88 yds · 3 TD · 6.3 YPC
80.374/1044
SAdrian Maddox
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.2
Coverage
74.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
77.0125/2969
CBMicheal Graham Jr.
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.7
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
75.5177/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Will Anciaux · TEout · 2026-10-05

    Anciaux is nursing with a lower leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • John Pastore · OGout · 2026-08-21

    Pastore has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a lower leg injury.

  • Jacob Knuth · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Knuth is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Blake Barnett · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Barnett is bothered by a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Arley Morrell · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Morrell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Duff · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Duff is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Max Lovett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lovett id dealing with an arm injury and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TULN
KSU
vs
Offense
72.4
#94 of 138
QB
78.0
#69 of 138
75.5
#68 of 138
RB
76.9
#55 of 138
69.7
#85 of 138
WR
67.5
#115 of 138
65.0
#89 of 138
TE
70.9
#57 of 138
61.6
#122 of 138
OL
80.3
#4 of 138
Defense
78.4
#21 of 138
DL
73.0
#72 of 138
72.1
#86 of 138
LB
83.5
#9 of 138
67.8
#120 of 138
DB
71.4
#78 of 138
Common opponents