Passing
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU offense
- #47
- CIN defense
- #103
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.27
#103
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
KSU 50.7%49.3% CIN
- Projected margin
- KSU by 0.5
- Projected total
- 59
- 80% outcome range
- KSU 21 to CIN 20
- Win probability
- KSU 50.7%
FinalKSU 26 · CIN 31model had -0.5, off by 5.5
Current team profiles
Kansas State
CincinnatiWhen Kansas State has the ball
Rushing
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU offense
- #9
- CIN defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.27
#9
0.11
#98
Rush EPA
Drive success
KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU offense
- #12
- CIN defense
- #100
Success rates
51%
#12
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#25
0.13
#98
EPA / play
1.17
#98
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
9%
#6
16%
#65
Havoc
When Cincinnati has the ball
Passing
CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU defense
- #60
- CIN offense
- #45
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.29
#45
Pass EPA
Rushing
CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU defense
- #93
- CIN offense
- #4
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.31
#4
Rush EPA
Drive success
KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- KSU defense
- #26
- CIN offense
- #46
Success rates
35%
#26
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#80
0.29
#21
EPA / play
1.44
#134
1.35
#16
Explosiveness
20%
#21
12%
#26
Havoc
Current key players
Kansas StateQBJacob Knuth
7 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.089/729
LBJacobi Oliphant Jr.
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
90.59/1796
LBAshton Moore
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.256/1796
RBJay Harris
88 yds · 3 TD · 6.3 YPC
80.374/1044
SAdrian Maddox
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.0125/2969
CBMicheal Graham Jr.
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.7
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.5177/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Will Anciaux · TEout · 2026-10-05
Anciaux is nursing with a lower leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- John Pastore · OGout · 2026-08-21
Pastore has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a lower leg injury.
- Jacob Knuth · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Knuth is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Blake Barnett · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Barnett is bothered by a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Arley Morrell · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Morrell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Duff · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Duff is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Max Lovett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lovett id dealing with an arm injury and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
CincinnatiQBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 80.1
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 2
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.2
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 42
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 22
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 194
- Passer rating allowed
- 50.2
- Missed tackles
- 5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.1
- Coverage
- 70.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 30
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
- DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27
Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.
- Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02
Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
KSUKansas State
CINCincinnati
vs
Offense
78.0
#69 of 138
QB
Quarterback
83.2
#47 of 138
76.9
#55 of 138
RB
Running backs
83.7
#17 of 138
67.5
#115 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.8
#97 of 138
70.9
#57 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.0
#65 of 138
80.3
#4 of 138
OL
Offensive line
76.4
#11 of 138
Defense
73.0
#72 of 138
DL
Defensive line
67.8
#124 of 138
83.5
#9 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.7
#73 of 138
71.4
#78 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.0
#70 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Kansas State
opponent
Cincinnati
Hhome-1.5
ARIZArizona#25-27.0Aaway
Hhome-19.0
HOUHouston#13-6.4Aaway
Aaway-2.4
ISUIowa State#56-5.3Aaway
Aaway+9.2
COLOColorado#84+11.6Hhome