CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
KSU 72.2%27.8% COLO
Projected margin
KSU by 9.2
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
KSU 28 to COLO 9
Win probability
KSU 72.2%

Current team profiles

Kansas State
Colorado

When Kansas State has the ball

Passing

KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KSU offense
#47
COLO defense
#79
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.17
#79
Pass EPA

Rushing

KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KSU offense
#9
COLO defense
#12
EPA comparison
0.27
#9
-0.14
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

KSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KSU offense
#12
COLO defense
#37
Success rates
51%
#12
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#25
-0.02
#34
EPA / play
1.17
#98
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
9%
#6
21%
#13
Havoc

When Colorado has the ball

Passing

KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KSU defense
#60
COLO offense
#108
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.09
#108
Pass EPA

Rushing

KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KSU defense
#93
COLO offense
#132
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
-0.10
#132
Rush EPA

Drive success

KSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KSU defense
#26
COLO offense
#107
Success rates
35%
#26
40%
#107
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#80
-0.01
#125
EPA / play
1.44
#134
1.17
#100
Explosiveness
20%
#21
17%
#106
Havoc

Current key players

Kansas State
QBJacob Knuth
7 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.089/729
LBJacobi Oliphant Jr.
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.2
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.59/1796
LBAshton Moore
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.256/1796
RBJay Harris
88 yds · 3 TD · 6.3 YPC
80.374/1044
SAdrian Maddox
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.2
Coverage
74.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
77.0125/2969
CBMicheal Graham Jr.
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.7
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
75.5177/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Will Anciaux · TEout · 2026-10-05

    Anciaux is nursing with a lower leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • John Pastore · OGout · 2026-08-21

    Pastore has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a lower leg injury.

  • Jacob Knuth · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Knuth is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Blake Barnett · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Barnett is bothered by a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Arley Morrell · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Morrell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Duff · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Duff is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

  • Max Lovett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lovett id dealing with an arm injury and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.

Colorado
QBIsaac Wilson
443 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT
60.1271/729
DBJah Jah Boyd
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.0
Coverage
85.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
88.913/2969
RBTitus Bautista
7 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
83.745/1044
LBCarson Crawford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.0141/1796
WRJoseph Williams
32 rec · 454 yds · 5 TD
76.993/2069
DBRJ Johnson
4 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
76.2153/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Zach Atkins · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Atkins is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Danny Scudero · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Scudero is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Makari Vickers · CBout · 2026-10-02

    Vickers is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Quentin Gibson · WRQues. · 2026-10-01

    Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Red-raiders on Saturday.

  • Charlie Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-01

    Williams is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Damian Henderson II · RBprobable · 2026-10-01

    Henderson II is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • DeAndre Moore Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Moore Jr is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KSU
COLO
vs
Offense
78.0
#69 of 138
QB
60.1
#132 of 138
76.9
#55 of 138
RB
81.9
#24 of 138
67.5
#115 of 138
WR
71.8
#64 of 138
70.9
#57 of 138
TE
56.5
#135 of 138
80.3
#4 of 138
OL
71.2
#43 of 138
Defense
73.0
#72 of 138
DL
77.4
#31 of 138
83.5
#9 of 138
LB
74.1
#69 of 138
71.4
#78 of 138
DB
75.0
#34 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Kansas State
opponent
Colorado
H+12.3
OKST#52
-4.8A
A+2.2
ASU#65
-9.6A
H-19.0
HOU#13
-10.0H
A-5.0
CIN#59
-11.6A