Passing
No comparison
- NICH offense
- —
- KSU defense
- #60
EPA comparison
—
0.11
#60
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NICH 0.8%99.2% KSU
- Projected margin
- KSU by 38.4
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- KSU 18 to KSU 59
- Win probability
- KSU 99.2%
FinalNICH 3 · KSU 71model had +38.4, off by 29.6
Current team profiles
Nicholls
Kansas StateWhen Nicholls has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- NICH offense
- —
- KSU defense
- #93
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- NICH offense
- #100
- KSU defense
- #26
Success rates
41%
#100
35%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#105
0.08
#80
EPA / play
0.19
#100
1.44
#134
Explosiveness
—
20%
#21
Havoc
When Kansas State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- NICH defense
- —
- KSU offense
- #47
EPA comparison
—
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- NICH defense
- —
- KSU offense
- #9
EPA comparison
—
0.27
#9
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- NICH defense
- #26
- KSU offense
- #12
Success rates
41%
#26
51%
#12
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#39
0.27
#25
EPA / play
0.19
#34
1.17
#98
Explosiveness
—
9%
#6
Havoc
Current key players
NichollsLBCharlie Diedrich
9 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.2
- Coverage
- 64.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.172/1054
LBTrent Santos
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.0
- Coverage
- 62.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.579/1054
WRJordan Smith
28 rec · 366 yds · 3 TD
75.168/1229
DBJhamal Shelby Jr.
15 tkl · 5 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 74.0
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 130
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.1139/1765
DBKristian Dillard
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.1
- Coverage
- 76.7
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 70.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.7160/1765
KJoshua Bellanger
0 punts · 0.0 avg
74.443/416
Kansas StateQBJacob Knuth
7 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.089/729
LBJacobi Oliphant Jr.
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
90.59/1796
LBAshton Moore
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.256/1796
RBJay Harris
88 yds · 3 TD · 6.3 YPC
80.374/1044
SAdrian Maddox
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.0125/2969
CBMicheal Graham Jr.
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.7
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.5177/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Will Anciaux · TEout · 2026-10-05
Anciaux is nursing with a lower leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- John Pastore · OGout · 2026-08-21
Pastore has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a lower leg injury.
- Jacob Knuth · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Knuth is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Blake Barnett · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Barnett is bothered by a lower body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Arley Morrell · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Morrell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Duff · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Duff is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will take the field against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
- Max Lovett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lovett id dealing with an arm injury and it is unclear if he will play against Jayhawks Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NICHNicholls
KSUKansas State
vs
Offense
66.0
#86 of 125
QB
Quarterback
78.0
#69 of 138
66.7
#104 of 126
RB
Running backs
76.9
#55 of 138
69.0
#64 of 126
WR
Receivers
67.5
#115 of 138
68.5
#39 of 124
TE
Tight ends
70.9
#57 of 138
66.1
#46 of 125
OL
Offensive line
80.3
#4 of 138
Defense
64.9
#119 of 126
DL
Defensive line
73.0
#72 of 138
74.6
#34 of 126
LB
Linebackers
83.5
#9 of 138
72.4
#48 of 126
DB
Secondary
71.4
#78 of 138