Passing
TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BYU offense
- #70
- TCU defense
- #17
EPA comparison
0.23
#70
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BYU 55.9%44.1% TCU
- Projected margin
- BYU by 1.9
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- BYU 21 to TCU 18
- Win probability
- BYU 55.9%
FinalBYU 17 · TCU 10model had -1.9, off by 5.1
Current team profiles
BYUTCUWhen BYU has the ball
Rushing
BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BYU offense
- #1
- TCU defense
- #8
EPA comparison
0.36
#1
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA
Drive success
BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BYU offense
- #7
- TCU defense
- #33
Success rates
52%
#7
36%
#33
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#16
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.18
#96
0.96
#1
Explosiveness
8%
#2
18%
#39
Havoc
When TCU has the ball
Passing
BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BYU defense
- #16
- TCU offense
- #55
EPA comparison
-0.02
#16
0.27
#55
Pass EPA
Rushing
BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BYU defense
- #18
- TCU offense
- #113
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BYU defense
- #32
- TCU offense
- #57
Success rates
35%
#32
45%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#13
0.13
#77
EPA / play
1.18
#48
1.24
#63
Explosiveness
20%
#17
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
BYUQBTreyson Bourguet
15 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
84.448/729
RBLJ Martin
344 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
87.223/1044
TEWalker Lyons
8 rec · 89 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.6
- Run blocking
- 78.4
- Penalties
- 0
80.922/1017
WRLegend Glasker
14 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
80.553/2069
CBCannon DeVries
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.9
- Coverage
- 74.7
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 77
- Passer rating allowed
- 102.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.1120/2969
LBCade Uluave
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.5
- Coverage
- 75.7
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 7
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.9142/1796
Availability reports · 7
- LJ Martin · RBout · 2026-10-07
Martin is managing with an ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Sione Moa · RBout · 2026-09-20
Moa is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Raider Damuni · Sout · 2026-09-07
Damuni is out of commission due to a lower body injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Siale Esera · LBQues. · 2026-10-10
Esera is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October
- Andrew Gentry · OGQues. · 2026-10-10
Gentry is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 17th.
- Brody Laga · KQues. · 2026-10-10
Laga has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 1
- Jacob Nye · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Nye is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October
TCUQBJaden Craig
1400 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
79.672/729
TEKari Ashley
25 rec · 374 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 55.0
- Run blocking
- 64.8
- Penalties
- 0
84.113/1017
SKaden McFadden
14 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.9
- Coverage
- 67.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 3
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
82.838/2969
CBVernon Glover Jr.
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.3
- Coverage
- 75.3
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 22.9
- Missed tackles
- 1
79.175/2969
LBHudson Hooper
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 13
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.3114/1796
LBKeylan Abrams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.8
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.3131/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Michael Short · LBout · 2026-10-01
Short is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Jordan Dwyer · WRout · 2026-09-11
Dwyer is dealing with a foot injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- J. Pitchford · RBout · 2026-10-01
Pitchford has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Cougars on Saturday.
- Kyle Lemmermann · KQues. · 2026-10-01
Lemmermann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cougars on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BYUBYU
TCUTCU
vs
Offense
84.4
#42 of 138
QB
Quarterback
79.6
#58 of 138
87.2
#6 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.7
#74 of 138
73.0
#47 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.7
#112 of 138
80.9
#22 of 138
TE
Tight ends
84.1
#13 of 138
80.6
#3 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.3
#58 of 138
Defense
76.1
#46 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.0
#37 of 138
74.5
#64 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.8
#46 of 138
72.6
#62 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.8
#10 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
BYU
opponent
TCU
Hhome+11.0
ARIZArizona#25-6.5Aaway
Aaway+6.5
UCFUCF#48-8.0Aaway
Hhome+9.8
BAYBaylor#41-0.7Aaway
Aaway-9.0
UTAHUtah#9-8.8Hhome
Aaway+9.8
KUKansas#31+10.0Hhome