AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sun Sep 13
Away
Grambling
—
12p
#32Home
TCU
0-1 · AVR 61.0
47p
GRAM 1%99% TCU
Spread
TCU -34.3
Total
59
Moneyline
GRAM—TCU—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
TCU
CBKalen Carroll
86.732/1427
WRJordan Dwyer
84.914/777
LBPaul Oyewale
75.3105/878
RBJeremy Payne
73.443/514
LBZach Chapmanprobable
69.9145/878
SRyan Yaites
65.2350/1427

also out — Jacob Fields (S), D. Ezukanma (WR)

Projected margin

80% between 18 and 51
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKTCU +34.395% interval: 11.3 to 57.280% interval: 17.5 to 51+18+51GRAM wins 1%TCU wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ TCU 46–11 GRAMTCU 42–35 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesTCU 46–32 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesTCU 49–28 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesTCU 53–25 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesTCU 56–21 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesTCU 60–18 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesTCU 63–14 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesTCU 67–11 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesTCU 70–7 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTCU 39–32 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesTCU 42–28 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesTCU 46–25 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesTCU 49–21 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesTCU 53–18 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesTCU 56–14 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesTCU 60–11 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesTCU 63–7 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesTCU 67–4 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesTCU 35–28 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesTCU 39–25 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesTCU 42–21 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesTCU 46–18 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesTCU 49–14 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesTCU 53–11 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesTCU 56–7 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesTCU 60–4 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesTCU 63–0 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesTCU 32–25 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesTCU 35–21 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesTCU 39–18 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesTCU 42–14 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesTCU 46–11 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesTCU 49–7 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesTCU 53–4 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesTCU 56–0 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)TCU 28–21 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesTCU 32–18 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesTCU 35–14 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesTCU 39–11 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesTCU 42–7 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesTCU 46–4 GRAM neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesTCU 49–0 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)TCU 25–18 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesTCU 28–14 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesTCU 32–11 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesTCU 35–7 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesTCU 39–4 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesTCU 42–0 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)TCU 21–14 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTCU 25–11 GRAM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesTCU 28–7 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesTCU 32–4 GRAM neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesTCU 35–0 GRAM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalTCU +7TCU +21TCU +35TCU +49TCU +63margin →