AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Big 12

Utah

Utes0-02nd in Big 12
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT · 51,444
Rank —
16
Rating
71.8
TeamOffense-leaning roster
OffenseQuarterback-driven, loaded at the skill spots, veteran line
DefenseExperienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vsIdaho
100%
Sep 353-4p›
2
vs#40Arkansas
84%
Sep 1336-23p›
3
vs#92Utah State
97%
Sep 1942-16p›
4
at#56Iowa State
79%
Sep 2632-21p›
6
vs#50Kansas
87%
Oct 1035-20p›
7
at#74Colorado
90%
Oct 1735-18p›
8
vs#36Houston
83%
Oct 2433-20p›
9
at#51Cincinnati
80%
Oct 3134-22p›
10
vs#19BYUBeehive Boot
63%
Nov 730-25p›
11
at#26Arizona
58%
Nov 1429-26p›
12
at#32TCU
68%
Nov 2132-26p›
13
vs#66West Virginia
93%
Nov 2837-17p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#581
Talent
#3873
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB13th
RB21st
WR12th
TE19th
OL7th
DL37th
LB90th
DB13th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named8 ratedavg 77.56 top-252025 ratings
X82.5
B. Pegan
WR · JR17th
LT87.1
Z. Williams
OL · SR20th
LG86.7
A. Harrison
OL · SR21st
C—
C. Jefferson
OL · JR
RG—
K. Olson
OL · SR
RT—
S. Moea'i
OL · SR
TE66.4
H. Andrews
TE · SO21st
SL57.8
L. Simmons
WR · SR135th
Z70.8
K. Shoels
WR · SR54th
QB83.8
D. Dampier
QB · SR13th
RB84.7
W. Parker
RB · JR7th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Devon DampierSR
83.8
13th QB
RB
Wayshawn ParkerJR
84.7
7th RB
WR
Braden PeganJR
82.5
17th WR
WR
Kyri ShoelsSR
70.8
54th WR
TE
Hunter AndrewsSO
66.4
21st TE
Defense
LB
Johnathan HallSR
65.5
204th LB
LB
Trey ReynoldsSR
59.8
295th LB
S
Jackson BenneeJR
90.2
11th DB
CB
Elijah ReedSR
81.0
83rd DB
CB
Rock CaldwellSR
77.9
116th DB

Injury report

1 out · 3 starters
out
Kingston StroshineLB
08-05
probable
Larry SimmonsWRstarter
08-11
probable
Nate Ritchiestarter
08-18
probable
Rabbit EvansS
08-19
probable
Karson KaufusiDLstarter
08-25
probable
Semi TaulangaTE
08-26

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

15%–48% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W10
vs#19BYU
19% lose48% win
±8.1
likely move
in odds
62% to win
W11
at#26Arizona
22% lose48% win
±6.6
likely move
in odds
58% to win
W12
at#32TCU
21% lose45% win
±5.6
likely move
in odds
66% to win
W4
at#56Iowa State
19% lose42% win
±4.2
likely move
in odds
77% to win
W9
at#51Cincinnati
19% lose42% win
±4.0
likely move
in odds
78% to win
W8
vs#36Houston
18% lose41% win
±3.9
likely move
in odds
82% to win
W6
vs#50Kansas
16% lose41% win
±3.3
likely move
in odds
85% to win
W7
at#74Colorado
18% lose40% win
±2.1
likely move
in odds
88% to win