CFB
Model
All rankings
Big 12

Utah

Utes5-01st in Big 12
Rice-Eccles Stadium · Salt Lake City, UT · 51,444
TeamComplete
OffenseEfficient and explosive running attack · elite
DefenseHavoc-driven · strongweak point: big plays allowed, 120th

The season

Best win
W 41-24 vs #31 Kansas
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · model had 92%
Undefeated.

Schedule

model 5/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 3
    vsIdaho
    W 66–14
    Win chance >99%Model margin +43.8Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsArkansas
    W 43–10
    Win chance 93%Model margin +19.7Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsUtah State
    W 33–0
    Win chance 99%Model margin +29.6Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atIowa State
    W 31–17
    Win chance 65%Model margin +5.2Game details
  5. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsKansas
    W 41–24
    Win chance 92%Model margin +19.2Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atColorado
    Win chance 94%Model margin +20.9Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsHouston
    Win chance 84%Model margin +13.6Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atCincinnati
    Win chance 81%Model margin +11.9Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsBYU
    Win chance 75%Model margin +9.0Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atArizona
    Win chance 64%Model margin +5.0Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atTCU
    Win chance 74%Model margin +8.8Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsWest Virginia
    Win chance 93%Model margin +19.6Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
89
#3 of 138
Defense efficiency
88
#9 of 138
Efficiency
#90.32
EPA / play
#19-0.06
#300.38
Pass
#17-0.01
#50.30
Rush
#16-0.11
#951%
Success
#833%
Big plays & havoc
#281.31
Explosive
#1201.36
#3613%
Havoc
#2319%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB26th
RB8th
WR24th
TE40th
OL55th
DL40th
LB79th
DB47th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Devon DampierSR
896 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
89.4
27th QB
RB
Wayshawn ParkerJR
328 yds · 5 TD · 6.6 YPC
85.6
33rd RB
WR
Larry SimmonsSR
5 rec · 95 yds · 0 TD
79.2
64th WR
WR
Braden PeganSR
17 rec · 264 yds · 4 TD
77.9
75th WR
TE
Broderick ReddenSO
— rec · — yds · — TD
74.4
51st TE
Defense
LB
Johnathan HallSR
20 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
76.7
145th LB
LB
Cyrus PoluSO
15 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
71.6
302nd LB
S
Rabbit EvansSR
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
81.0
49th DB
S
Nate RitchieSR
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
77.9
98th DB
CB
Elijah DavisSR
8 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
75.7
167th DB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atColorado
    Playoff chance if win
    64.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    34.5%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsHouston
    Playoff chance if win
    66.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    38.5%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 31
    atCincinnati
    Playoff chance if win
    67.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    41.6%
  4. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsBYU
    Playoff chance if win
    70.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    39.2%
  5. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atArizona
    Playoff chance if win
    71.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    45.5%
  6. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atTCU
    Playoff chance if win
    68.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    42.9%
  7. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsWest Virginia
    Playoff chance if win
    64.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    36.4%

Past seasons

Year by year
-1.2 points since 2022
506070809078.5202269.6202366.5202477.32025
2022 78.52023 69.62024 66.52025 77.3

2025

10-2
D-I rank
#9
Rating
77.3
Listed games · 12
WWWLWWLWWWWW
493 pts scored224 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at UCLAW 43–10
  2. W2 vs Cal PolyW 63–9
  3. W3 at WyomingW 31–6
  4. W4 vs Texas TechL 10–34
  5. W5 at West VirginiaW 48–14
  6. W7 vs Arizona StateW 42–10
  7. W8 at BYUL 21–24
  8. W9 vs ColoradoW 53–7
  9. W10 vs CincinnatiW 45–14
  10. W12 at BaylorW 55–28
  11. W13 vs Kansas StateW 51–47
  12. W14 at KansasW 31–21

2024

5-7
D-I rank
#43
Rating
66.5
Listed games · 12
WWWWLLLLLLLW
283 pts scored248 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Southern UtahW 49–0
  2. W2 vs BaylorW 23–12
  3. W3 at Utah StateW 38–21
  4. W4 at Oklahoma StateW 22–19
  5. W5 vs ArizonaL 10–23
  6. W7 at Arizona StateL 19–27
  7. W8 vs TCUL 7–13
  8. W9 at HoustonL 14–17
  9. W11 vs BYUL 21–22
  10. W12 at ColoradoL 24–49
  11. W13 vs Iowa StateL 28–31
  12. W14 at UCFW 28–14

2023

8-4
D-I rank
#28
Rating
69.6
Listed games · 12
WWWWLWWLWLLW
294 pts scored237 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs FloridaW 24–11
  2. W2 at BaylorW 20–13
  3. W3 vs Weber StateW 31–7
  4. W4 vs UCLAW 14–7
  5. W5 at Oregon StateL 7–21
  6. W7 vs CaliforniaW 34–14
  7. W8 at USCW 34–32
  8. W9 vs OregonL 6–35
  9. W10 vs Arizona StateW 55–3
  10. W11 at WashingtonL 28–35
  11. W12 at ArizonaL 18–42
  12. W13 vs ColoradoW 23–17

2022

10-3
D-I rank
#6
Rating
78.5
Listed games · 13
LWWWWLWWWWLWW
520 pts scored265 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at FloridaL 26–29
  2. W2 vs Southern UtahW 73–7
  3. W3 vs San Diego StateW 35–7
  4. W4 at Arizona StateW 34–13
  5. W5 vs Oregon StateW 42–16
  6. W6 at UCLAL 32–42
  7. W7 vs USCW 43–42
  8. W9 at Washington StateW 21–17
  9. W10 vs ArizonaW 45–20
  10. W11 vs StanfordW 42–7
  11. W12 at OregonL 17–20
  12. W13 at ColoradoW 63–21
  13. W14 vs USCW 47–24