CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
KU 10.7%89.3% UTAH
Projected margin
UTAH by 19.2
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
KU 2 to UTAH 39
Win probability
UTAH 89.3%
FinalKU 24 · UTAH 41model had +19.2, off by 2.2

Current team profiles

Kansas
Utah

When Kansas has the ball

Passing

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
KU offense
#55
UTAH defense
#17
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
KU offense
#19
UTAH defense
#16
EPA comparison
0.24
#19
-0.11
#16
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
KU offense
#28
UTAH defense
#8
Success rates
48%
#28
33%
#8
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#28
-0.06
#19
EPA / play
1.34
#20
1.36
#120
Explosiveness
14%
#60
19%
#23
Havoc

When Utah has the ball

Passing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
KU defense
#71
UTAH offense
#30
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.38
#30
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
KU defense
#27
UTAH offense
#5
EPA comparison
-0.07
#27
0.30
#5
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
KU defense
#20
UTAH offense
#9
Success rates
35%
#20
51%
#9
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#30
0.32
#9
EPA / play
1.27
#92
1.31
#28
Explosiveness
20%
#19
13%
#36
Havoc

Current key players

Kansas
QBChase Jenkins
65 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
93.31/729
LBJaron Willis
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.8
Coverage
71.6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.330/1796
WRNik McMillan
14 rec · 256 yds · 2 TD
85.324/2069
LBTrey Lathan
22 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
83.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
83.554/1796
TEJack Utz
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
84.2
Penalties
0
77.934/1017
RBJalen Dupree
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
77.8120/1044
Availability reports · 7
  • Cole Ballard · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Ballard is dealing with a shoulder injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Yasin Willis · RBout · 2026-09-28

    Willis has been out of the lineup with an foot injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Justin Thurman · RBout · 2026-08-11

    Thurman has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kory Amachree · RBout · 2026-10-02

    Amachree is expected to miss the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaylen Mason · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Mason is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jailen Butler · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Butler exited the game with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Wildcats on Saturday, October

  • Carter Moses · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moses is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

Utah
QBDevon Dampier
896 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
89.427/729
RBWayshawn Parker
328 yds · 5 TD · 6.6 YPC
85.633/1044
SRabbit Evans
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
80.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
0
81.049/2969
WRLarry Simmons
5 rec · 95 yds · 0 TD
79.264/2069
WRBraden Pegan
17 rec · 264 yds · 4 TD
77.975/2069
SNate Ritchie
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.2
Coverage
76.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
55.4
Missed tackles
0
77.998/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

KU
UTAH
vs
Offense
93.3
#1 of 138
QB
89.4
#26 of 138
76.8
#57 of 138
RB
85.5
#8 of 138
78.9
#15 of 138
WR
77.2
#24 of 138
77.9
#30 of 138
TE
74.4
#40 of 138
77.5
#8 of 138
OL
70.0
#55 of 138
Defense
89.4
#1 of 138
DL
76.3
#40 of 138
83.2
#10 of 138
LB
73.1
#79 of 138
72.4
#66 of 138
DB
73.7
#47 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Kansas
opponent
Utah
A-4.5
WVU#86
+19.6H
A-10.0
TCU#36
+8.8A
H-9.8
BYU#18
+9.0H