CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UTAH 62.1%37.9% ARIZ
Projected margin
UTAH by 5.0
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
UTAH 24 to ARIZ 14
Win probability
UTAH 62.1%

Current team profiles

Utah
Arizona

When Utah has the ball

Passing

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH offense
#30
ARIZ defense
#17
EPA comparison
0.38
#30
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH offense
#5
ARIZ defense
#47
EPA comparison
0.30
#5
0.00
#47
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH offense
#9
ARIZ defense
#27
Success rates
51%
#9
35%
#27
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#9
-0.04
#28
EPA / play
1.31
#28
1.42
#131
Explosiveness
13%
#36
16%
#63
Havoc

When Arizona has the ball

Passing

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH defense
#17
ARIZ offense
#28
EPA comparison
-0.01
#17
0.39
#28
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH defense
#16
ARIZ offense
#61
EPA comparison
-0.11
#16
0.13
#61
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH defense
#8
ARIZ offense
#21
Success rates
33%
#8
49%
#21
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#19
0.24
#32
EPA / play
1.36
#120
1.22
#77
Explosiveness
19%
#23
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

Utah
QBDevon Dampier
896 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
89.427/729
RBWayshawn Parker
328 yds · 5 TD · 6.6 YPC
85.633/1044
SRabbit Evans
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
80.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
0
81.049/2969
WRLarry Simmons
5 rec · 95 yds · 0 TD
79.264/2069
WRBraden Pegan
17 rec · 264 yds · 4 TD
77.975/2069
SNate Ritchie
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.2
Coverage
76.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
55.4
Missed tackles
0
77.998/2969
Arizona
QBNoah Fifita
1398 yds · 13 TD · 3 INT
83.452/729
LBDash Fifita
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
56.6
Coverage
71.5
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
22
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
84.743/1796
CBJay'Vion Cole
17 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
73.8
Missed tackles
2
78.390/2969
WRGiovanni Richardson
15 rec · 170 yds · 0 TD
77.089/2069
WRTre Spivey
22 rec · 314 yds · 4 TD
76.1107/2069
RBIsmail Mahdi
72 yds · 0 TD · 6.0 YPC
74.7180/1044
Availability reports · 7
  • Tre Spivey · WRout · 2026-10-04

    Spivey has been out of commission due to ankle injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Daylen Austin · Sout · 2026-09-25

    Austin has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Giovanni Richardson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Richardson is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cole Rusk · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Rusk is laid up with an lower leg injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cornelius Warren III · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Warren III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Max Harris · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Harris is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Scotty Brennan · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brennan is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UTAH
ARIZ
vs
Offense
89.4
#26 of 138
QB
83.4
#46 of 138
85.5
#8 of 138
RB
74.2
#80 of 138
77.2
#24 of 138
WR
74.4
#39 of 138
74.4
#40 of 138
TE
63.4
#101 of 138
70.0
#55 of 138
OL
75.2
#17 of 138
Defense
76.3
#40 of 138
DL
72.0
#86 of 138
73.1
#79 of 138
LB
74.8
#61 of 138
73.7
#47 of 138
DB
70.9
#84 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Utah
opponent
Arizona
H+9.0
BYU#18
-11.0A
A+11.9
CIN#59
+27.0H
A+14.0
ISU#56
+7.1H
A+8.8
TCU#36
+6.5H
H+19.6
WVU#86
+21.0A