CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
USU 3.1%96.9% UTAH
Projected margin
UTAH by 29.6
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
UTAH 10 to UTAH 49
Win probability
UTAH 96.9%
FinalUSU 0 · UTAH 33model had +29.6, off by 3.4

Current team profiles

Utah State
Utah

When Utah State has the ball

Passing

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU offense
#133
UTAH defense
#17
EPA comparison
-0.10
#133
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU offense
#122
UTAH defense
#16
EPA comparison
-0.05
#122
-0.11
#16
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU offense
#131
UTAH defense
#8
Success rates
35%
#131
33%
#8
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#132
-0.06
#19
EPA / play
1.39
#8
1.36
#120
Explosiveness
19%
#130
19%
#23
Havoc

When Utah has the ball

Passing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
USU defense
#60
UTAH offense
#30
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.38
#30
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
USU defense
#40
UTAH offense
#5
EPA comparison
-0.02
#40
0.30
#5
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
USU defense
#60
UTAH offense
#9
Success rates
39%
#60
51%
#9
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#59
0.32
#9
EPA / play
1.18
#46
1.31
#28
Explosiveness
14%
#101
13%
#36
Havoc

Current key players

Utah State
QBGrady Brosterhous
764 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
49.1374/729
LBAsher Cunningham
34 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.8
Coverage
74.0
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
38
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
1
83.455/1796
WREli Wood
30 rec · 388 yds · 4 TD
80.552/2069
SBrevin Hamblin
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.2
Coverage
65.8
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
140
Passer rating allowed
71.5
Missed tackles
10
74.9198/2969
LBAdonis Jackson
14 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.2
Coverage
53.6
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
99
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
72.9263/1796
CBD'Angelo Mayes
23 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.3
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
30
Rec allowed
17
Yards allowed
226
Passer rating allowed
77.9
Missed tackles
2
70.2435/2969
Availability reports · 8
  • J. Nelson · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Nikko Boncore · WRout · 2026-10-07

    Boncore is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Sesi Vailahi · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Vailahi is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Nehemiah Washington · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Anthony Garcia · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Garcia is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Rex Haynes · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Haynes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kache Kaio · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Kaio is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • McCae Hillstead · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hillstead is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will be suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

Utah
QBDevon Dampier
896 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
89.427/729
RBWayshawn Parker
328 yds · 5 TD · 6.6 YPC
85.633/1044
SRabbit Evans
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
80.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
0
81.049/2969
WRLarry Simmons
5 rec · 95 yds · 0 TD
79.264/2069
WRBraden Pegan
17 rec · 264 yds · 4 TD
77.975/2069
SNate Ritchie
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.2
Coverage
76.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
55.4
Missed tackles
0
77.998/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

USU
UTAH
vs
Offense
49.1
#138 of 138
QB
89.4
#26 of 138
68.3
#127 of 138
RB
85.5
#8 of 138
67.2
#118 of 138
WR
77.2
#24 of 138
59.9
#123 of 138
TE
74.4
#40 of 138
62.6
#119 of 138
OL
70.0
#55 of 138
Defense
68.5
#120 of 138
DL
76.3
#40 of 138
76.3
#50 of 138
LB
73.1
#79 of 138
69.5
#104 of 138
DB
73.7
#47 of 138
Common opponents