CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UTAH 77.6%22.4% CIN
Projected margin
UTAH by 11.9
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
UTAH 31 to CIN 7
Win probability
UTAH 77.6%

Current team profiles

Utah
Cincinnati

When Utah has the ball

Passing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH offense
#30
CIN defense
#103
EPA comparison
0.38
#30
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH offense
#5
CIN defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.30
#5
0.11
#98
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH offense
#9
CIN defense
#100
Success rates
51%
#9
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#9
0.13
#98
EPA / play
1.31
#28
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
13%
#36
16%
#65
Havoc

When Cincinnati has the ball

Passing

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH defense
#17
CIN offense
#45
EPA comparison
-0.01
#17
0.29
#45
Pass EPA

Rushing

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH defense
#16
CIN offense
#4
EPA comparison
-0.11
#16
0.31
#4
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
UTAH defense
#8
CIN offense
#46
Success rates
33%
#8
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#19
0.29
#21
EPA / play
1.36
#120
1.35
#16
Explosiveness
19%
#23
12%
#26
Havoc

Current key players

Utah
QBDevon Dampier
896 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
89.427/729
RBWayshawn Parker
328 yds · 5 TD · 6.6 YPC
85.633/1044
SRabbit Evans
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
80.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
0
81.049/2969
WRLarry Simmons
5 rec · 95 yds · 0 TD
79.264/2069
WRBraden Pegan
17 rec · 264 yds · 4 TD
77.975/2069
SNate Ritchie
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.2
Coverage
76.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
55.4
Missed tackles
0
77.998/2969
Cincinnati
QBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
80.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.2
Coverage
74.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
75.0
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
194
Passer rating allowed
50.2
Missed tackles
5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27

    Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.

  • Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UTAH
CIN
vs
Offense
89.4
#26 of 138
QB
83.2
#47 of 138
85.5
#8 of 138
RB
83.7
#17 of 138
77.2
#24 of 138
WR
68.8
#97 of 138
74.4
#40 of 138
TE
70.0
#65 of 138
70.0
#55 of 138
OL
76.4
#11 of 138
Defense
76.3
#40 of 138
DL
67.8
#124 of 138
73.1
#79 of 138
LB
73.7
#73 of 138
73.7
#47 of 138
DB
72.0
#70 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Utah
opponent
Cincinnati
A+5.0
ARIZ#25
-27.0A
H+13.6
HOU#13
-6.4A
H+19.6
WVU#86
-0.3A
H+9.0
BYU#18
-10.9A
A+14.0
ISU#56
-5.3A
A+20.9
COLO#84
+11.6H