CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
#13Away
Houston
5-1 · AVR 72.3
21p
#9Home
Utah
5-0 · AVR 75.5
34p
Forecast win probability
HOU 19.5%80.5% UTAH
Projected margin
UTAH by 13.6
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
HOU 5 to UTAH 32
Win probability
UTAH 80.5%

Current team profiles

Houston
Utah

When Houston has the ball

Passing

HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU offense
#6
UTAH defense
#17
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU offense
#21
UTAH defense
#16
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
-0.11
#16
Rush EPA

Drive success

HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU offense
#2
UTAH defense
#8
Success rates
55%
#2
33%
#8
Success rate
More metrics
0.36
#5
-0.06
#19
EPA / play
1.09
#127
1.36
#120
Explosiveness
10%
#7
19%
#23
Havoc

When Utah has the ball

Passing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU defense
#93
UTAH offense
#30
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.38
#30
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU defense
#33
UTAH offense
#5
EPA comparison
-0.05
#33
0.30
#5
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU defense
#55
UTAH offense
#9
Success rates
39%
#55
51%
#9
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.32
#9
EPA / play
1.32
#111
1.31
#28
Explosiveness
20%
#19
13%
#36
Havoc

Current key players

Houston
QBLuke Carney
— yds · — TD · — INT
90.420/729
WRJack Newhouse
— rec · — yds · — TD
92.44/2069
LBChristian Brathwaite
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.0
Coverage
72.3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.17/1796
RBJohn Hebert
65 yds · 1 TD · 13.0 YPC
88.715/1044
TEWyatt Herbel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
83.4
Penalties
0
88.65/1017
DBJalen Mayo
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
78.7
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
158
Passer rating allowed
74.5
Missed tackles
3
83.832/2969
Availability reports · 6
  • John Hebert · RBout · 2026-10-05

    Hebert is laid up with a lower leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Muizz Tounkara · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Tounkara is nursing with a foot injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Jacory Thurman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Thurman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jeffrey Strozier Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Strozier is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th

  • Evan Noel · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Noel is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

  • JayShon Ridgle · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ridgle is dealing with undisclosed injury, it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

Utah
QBDevon Dampier
896 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
89.427/729
RBWayshawn Parker
328 yds · 5 TD · 6.6 YPC
85.633/1044
SRabbit Evans
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
80.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
0
81.049/2969
WRLarry Simmons
5 rec · 95 yds · 0 TD
79.264/2069
WRBraden Pegan
17 rec · 264 yds · 4 TD
77.975/2069
SNate Ritchie
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.2
Coverage
76.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
55.4
Missed tackles
0
77.998/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

HOU
UTAH
vs
Offense
90.4
#19 of 138
QB
89.4
#26 of 138
87.3
#4 of 138
RB
85.5
#8 of 138
77.3
#22 of 138
WR
77.2
#24 of 138
88.6
#5 of 138
TE
74.4
#40 of 138
76.2
#12 of 138
OL
70.0
#55 of 138
Defense
80.3
#15 of 138
DL
76.3
#40 of 138
77.6
#40 of 138
LB
73.1
#79 of 138
72.8
#58 of 138
DB
73.7
#47 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Houston
opponent
Utah
A+3.4
WVU#86
+19.6H
A+10.0
COLO#84
+20.9A
H+6.4
CIN#59
+11.9A