Passing
UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH offense
- #30
- ISU defense
- #79
EPA comparison
0.38
#30
0.17
#79
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UTAH 63.1%37.0% ISU
- Projected margin
- UTAH by 5.2
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- UTAH 25 to ISU 16
- Win probability
- UTAH 63.1%
FinalUTAH 31 · ISU 17model had -5.2, off by 8.8
Current team profiles
Utah
Iowa StateWhen Utah has the ball
Rushing
UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH offense
- #5
- ISU defense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.30
#5
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH offense
- #9
- ISU defense
- #73
Success rates
51%
#9
40%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#9
0.07
#75
EPA / play
1.31
#28
1.25
#86
Explosiveness
13%
#36
15%
#79
Havoc
When Iowa State has the ball
Passing
UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH defense
- #17
- ISU offense
- #82
EPA comparison
-0.01
#17
0.17
#82
Pass EPA
Rushing
UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH defense
- #16
- ISU offense
- #63
EPA comparison
-0.11
#16
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH defense
- #8
- ISU offense
- #111
Success rates
33%
#8
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#19
0.13
#79
EPA / play
1.36
#120
1.30
#31
Explosiveness
19%
#23
18%
#121
Havoc
Current key players
UtahQBDevon Dampier
896 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
89.427/729
RBWayshawn Parker
328 yds · 5 TD · 6.6 YPC
85.633/1044
SRabbit Evans
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 80.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- -2
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.049/2969
WRLarry Simmons
5 rec · 95 yds · 0 TD
79.264/2069
WRBraden Pegan
17 rec · 264 yds · 4 TD
77.975/2069
SNate Ritchie
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.2
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 55.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.998/2969
Iowa StateQBConnor Moberly
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.4234/729
RBAiden Flora
594 yds · 6 TD · 8.1 YPC
91.04/1044
CBBeni Ngoyi
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 90
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
82.540/2969
CBDavid Coffey
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.9
- Coverage
- 80.9
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 51
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.866/2969
LBTristan Exline
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.590/1796
SDrew Surges
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.5
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 50
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
74.8202/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Carter Pabst · WRout · 2026-10-03
Pabst is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Jordyn Bailey · WRout · 2026-09-01
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear when he will return.
- Dominic Overby · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Overby is dealing with an Knee injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Caden Crawford · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Crawford is hampered due to an undisclosed injury , and it is unclear if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Jaheim Singletary · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Singletary is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rylan Barnes · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Easton Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Miller is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, but he is expected to suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Luke Galer · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Galer is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UTAHUtah
ISUIowa State
vs
Offense
89.4
#26 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.4
#124 of 138
85.5
#8 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.6
#25 of 138
77.2
#24 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#63 of 138
74.4
#40 of 138
TE
Tight ends
59.6
#124 of 138
70.0
#55 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.2
#51 of 138
Defense
76.3
#40 of 138
DL
Defensive line
78.3
#22 of 138
73.1
#79 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.3
#77 of 138
73.7
#47 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#19 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Utah
opponent
Iowa State
Hhome+9.0
BYUBYU#18-14.0Aaway
Hhome+19.6
WVUWest Virginia#86+3.0Hhome
Aaway+5.0
ARIZArizona#25-7.1Aaway
Aaway+11.9
CINCincinnati#59+5.3Hhome