Passing
TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH offense
- #30
- TCU defense
- #17
EPA comparison
0.38
#30
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UTAH 72.0%28.0% TCU
- Projected margin
- UTAH by 8.8
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- UTAH 27 to TCU 10
- Win probability
- UTAH 72.0%
Current team profiles
UtahTCUWhen Utah has the ball
Rushing
UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH offense
- #5
- TCU defense
- #8
EPA comparison
0.30
#5
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA
Drive success
UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH offense
- #9
- TCU defense
- #33
Success rates
51%
#9
36%
#33
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#9
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.31
#28
0.96
#1
Explosiveness
13%
#36
18%
#39
Havoc
When TCU has the ball
Passing
UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH defense
- #17
- TCU offense
- #55
EPA comparison
-0.01
#17
0.27
#55
Pass EPA
Rushing
UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH defense
- #16
- TCU offense
- #113
EPA comparison
-0.11
#16
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTAH defense
- #8
- TCU offense
- #57
Success rates
33%
#8
45%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#19
0.13
#77
EPA / play
1.36
#120
1.24
#63
Explosiveness
19%
#23
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
UtahQBDevon Dampier
896 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
89.427/729
RBWayshawn Parker
328 yds · 5 TD · 6.6 YPC
85.633/1044
SRabbit Evans
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 80.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- -2
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.049/2969
WRLarry Simmons
5 rec · 95 yds · 0 TD
79.264/2069
WRBraden Pegan
17 rec · 264 yds · 4 TD
77.975/2069
SNate Ritchie
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.2
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 55.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.998/2969
TCUQBJaden Craig
1400 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
79.672/729
TEKari Ashley
25 rec · 374 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 55.0
- Run blocking
- 64.8
- Penalties
- 0
84.113/1017
SKaden McFadden
14 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.9
- Coverage
- 67.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 3
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
82.838/2969
CBVernon Glover Jr.
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.3
- Coverage
- 75.3
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 22.9
- Missed tackles
- 1
79.175/2969
LBHudson Hooper
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 13
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.3114/1796
LBKeylan Abrams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.8
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.3131/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Michael Short · LBout · 2026-10-01
Short is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Jordan Dwyer · WRout · 2026-09-11
Dwyer is dealing with a foot injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- J. Pitchford · RBout · 2026-10-01
Pitchford has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Cougars on Saturday.
- Kyle Lemmermann · KQues. · 2026-10-01
Lemmermann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cougars on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UTAHUtah
TCUTCU
vs
Offense
89.4
#26 of 138
QB
Quarterback
79.6
#58 of 138
85.5
#8 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.7
#74 of 138
77.2
#24 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.7
#112 of 138
74.4
#40 of 138
TE
Tight ends
84.1
#13 of 138
70.0
#55 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.3
#58 of 138
Defense
76.3
#40 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.0
#37 of 138
73.1
#79 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.8
#46 of 138
73.7
#47 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.8
#10 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Utah
opponent
TCU
Hhome+9.0
BYUBYU#18-7.0Hhome
Hhome+19.6
WVUWest Virginia#86+8.1Hhome
Aaway+5.0
ARIZArizona#25-6.5Aaway
Hhome+17.0
KUKansas#31+10.0Hhome