CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Beehive Boot
Forecast win probability
BYU 29.2%70.8% UTAH
Projected margin
UTAH by 9.0
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
BYU 10 to UTAH 28
Win probability
UTAH 70.8%

Current team profiles

BYU
Utah

When BYU has the ball

Passing

UTAH defense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU offense
#70
UTAH defense
#17
EPA comparison
0.23
#70
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA

Rushing

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU offense
#1
UTAH defense
#16
EPA comparison
0.36
#1
-0.11
#16
Rush EPA

Drive success

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU offense
#7
UTAH defense
#8
Success rates
52%
#7
33%
#8
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#16
-0.06
#19
EPA / play
1.18
#96
1.36
#120
Explosiveness
8%
#2
19%
#23
Havoc

When Utah has the ball

Passing

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU defense
#16
UTAH offense
#30
EPA comparison
-0.02
#16
0.38
#30
Pass EPA

Rushing

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU defense
#18
UTAH offense
#5
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.30
#5
Rush EPA

Drive success

UTAH offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU defense
#32
UTAH offense
#9
Success rates
35%
#32
51%
#9
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#13
0.32
#9
EPA / play
1.18
#48
1.31
#28
Explosiveness
20%
#17
13%
#36
Havoc

Current key players

BYU
QBTreyson Bourguet
15 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
84.448/729
RBLJ Martin
344 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
87.223/1044
TEWalker Lyons
8 rec · 89 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
66.6
Run blocking
78.4
Penalties
0
80.922/1017
WRLegend Glasker
14 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
80.553/2069
CBCannon DeVries
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.9
Coverage
74.7
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
77
Passer rating allowed
102.4
Missed tackles
0
77.1120/2969
LBCade Uluave
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.5
Coverage
75.7
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
76.9142/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • LJ Martin · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Martin is managing with an ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Sione Moa · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Moa is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Raider Damuni · Sout · 2026-09-07

    Damuni is out of commission due to a lower body injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Siale Esera · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Esera is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

  • Andrew Gentry · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Gentry is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Laga · KQues. · 2026-10-10

    Laga has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 1

  • Jacob Nye · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nye is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

Utah
QBDevon Dampier
896 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
89.427/729
RBWayshawn Parker
328 yds · 5 TD · 6.6 YPC
85.633/1044
SRabbit Evans
14 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
80.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
2.8
Missed tackles
0
81.049/2969
WRLarry Simmons
5 rec · 95 yds · 0 TD
79.264/2069
WRBraden Pegan
17 rec · 264 yds · 4 TD
77.975/2069
SNate Ritchie
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.2
Coverage
76.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
55.4
Missed tackles
0
77.998/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

BYU
UTAH
vs
Offense
84.4
#42 of 138
QB
89.4
#26 of 138
87.2
#6 of 138
RB
85.5
#8 of 138
73.0
#47 of 138
WR
77.2
#24 of 138
80.9
#22 of 138
TE
74.4
#40 of 138
80.6
#3 of 138
OL
70.0
#55 of 138
Defense
76.1
#46 of 138
DL
76.3
#40 of 138
74.5
#64 of 138
LB
73.1
#79 of 138
72.6
#62 of 138
DB
73.7
#47 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

BYU
opponent
Utah
A+9.8
KU#31
+17.0H
H+11.0
ARIZ#25
+5.0A
A+7.0
TCU#36
+8.8A
H+10.9
CIN#59
+11.9A
H+14.0
ISU#56
+14.0A