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All rankings
Sun Belt

Arkansas State

Red Wolves2-44th in Sun Belt
Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR · 30,382
TeamCarried by the offense
OffenseMethodical running attack · averageweak point: explosiveness, 103rd
DefenseStout against the run · poorweak point: pass defense, 135th

The season

Best win
W 17-14 vs #113 Kennesaw State
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · model had 74%
Worst loss
L 49-56 vs #96 South Alabama
Wk 6 · Oct 8 · lost as a 56% favorite

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    atMemphis
    L 24–42
    Win chance 16%Model margin -13.7Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsWest Georgia
    W 52–7
    Win chance 99%Model margin +29.9Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atTCU
    L 7–31
    Win chance 9%Model margin -18.5Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsKennesaw State
    W 17–14
    Win chance 74%Model margin +8.9Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atLouisiana
    L 20–23
    Win chance 23%Model margin -9.9Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 8
    vsSouth Alabama
    L 49–56
    Win chance 56%Model margin +2.1Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atSouthern Miss
    Win chance 44%Model margin -2.0Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsGeorgia State
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.5Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsUL Monroe
    Win chance 88%Model margin +15.5Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atCoastal Carolina
    Win chance 55%Model margin +1.6Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atLouisiana Tech
    Win chance 39%Model margin -3.9Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsTroy
    Win chance 61%Model margin +3.7Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
58
#50 of 138
Defense efficiency
8
#133 of 138
Efficiency
#590.18
EPA / play
#1230.21
#700.23
Pass
#1350.46
#390.18
Rush
#1020.13
#1350%
Success
#12947%
Big plays & havoc
#1031.16
Explosive
#631.20
#6614%
Havoc
#13211%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB73rd
RB77th
WR61st
TE82nd
OL46th
DL77th
LB37th
DB21st

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Trey OwensJR
1043 yds · 5 TD · 4 INT
77.5
96th QB
RB
James LeeSR
123 yds · 0 TD · 7.2 YPC
75.5
170th RB
WR
Kena RegoFR
— rec · — yds · — TD
74.2
141st WR
WR
Dallas BoozerFR
1 rec · 13 yds · 0 TD
71.2
222nd WR
TE
Jabari BushJR
5 rec · 73 yds · 0 TD
67.0
135th TE
Defense
LB
Kam MooreSR
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
85.2
34th LB
LB
Robert StevensSR
25 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
84.9
40th LB
S
Brandon GreilSR
16 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
80.4
58th DB
CB
Noah FloresSR
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
78.0
97th DB
CB
Dontrae HendersonJR
14 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
75.5
176th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Devin SpencerRB

Spencer is dealing with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

73.3202508-17

Past seasons

Year by year
+0.5 points since 2022
304050607046.9202249.0202352.6202447.52025
2022 46.92023 49.02024 52.62025 47.5

2025

6-6
D-I rank
#138
Rating
47.5
Listed games · 12
WLLLLWWWWLLW
293 pts scored328 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Southeast Missouri StateW 42–24
  2. W2 vs ArkansasL 14–56
  3. W3 vs Iowa StateL 16–24
  4. W4 at Kennesaw StateL 21–28
  5. W5 at UL MonroeL 16–28
  6. W6 vs Texas StateW 31–30
  7. W8 at South AlabamaW 15–14
  8. W9 vs Georgia SouthernW 34–24
  9. W10 at TroyW 23–10
  10. W11 vs Southern MissL 21–27
  11. W13 vs LouisianaL 30–34
  12. W14 at App StateW 30–29

2024

7-5
D-I rank
#109
Rating
52.6
Listed games · 12
WWLLWLWWLWWL
298 pts scored387 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Central ArkansasW 34–31
  2. W2 vs TulsaW 28–24
  3. W3 at MichiganL 18–28
  4. W4 at Iowa StateL 7–52
  5. W6 vs South AlabamaW 18–16
  6. W7 at Texas StateL 9–41
  7. W8 at Southern MissW 44–28
  8. W9 vs TroyW 34–31
  9. W11 at LouisianaL 19–55
  10. W12 at Georgia StateW 27–20
  11. W13 vs UL MonroeW 28–21
  12. W14 vs Old DominionL 32–40

2023

6-6
D-I rank
#127
Rating
49.0
Listed games · 12
LLWWWLLWWLWL
333 pts scored374 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at OklahomaL 0–73
  2. W2 vs MemphisL 3–37
  3. W3 vs Stony BrookW 31–7
  4. W4 vs Southern MissW 44–37
  5. W5 at MassachusettsW 52–28
  6. W6 at TroyL 3–37
  7. W8 vs Coastal CarolinaL 17–27
  8. W9 at UL MonroeW 34–24
  9. W10 vs LouisianaW 37–17
  10. W11 at South AlabamaL 14–21
  11. W12 vs Texas StateW 77–31
  12. W13 at MarshallL 21–35

2022

3-9
D-I rank
#146
Rating
46.9
Listed games · 12
WLLLWLLLLWLL
300 pts scored377 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs GramblingW 58–3
  2. W2 at Ohio StateL 12–45
  3. W3 at MemphisL 32–44
  4. W4 at Old DominionL 26–29
  5. W5 vs UL MonroeW 45–28
  6. W6 vs James MadisonL 20–42
  7. W7 at Southern MissL 19–20
  8. W8 at LouisianaL 18–38
  9. W9 vs South AlabamaL 3–31
  10. W11 vs MassachusettsW 35–33
  11. W12 at Texas StateL 13–16
  12. W13 vs TroyL 19–48