Passing
ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM offense
- #111
- ARST defense
- #135
EPA comparison
0.08
#111
0.46
#135
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 3:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ULM 15.7%84.3% ARST
- Projected margin
- ARST by 15.5
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- ULM 3 to ARST 34
- Win probability
- ARST 84.3%
Current team profiles
UL Monroe
Arkansas StateWhen UL Monroe has the ball
Rushing
ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM offense
- #100
- ARST defense
- #102
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM offense
- #88
- ARST defense
- #129
Success rates
42%
#88
47%
#129
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#121
0.21
#123
EPA / play
1.16
#102
1.20
#63
Explosiveness
17%
#120
11%
#132
Havoc
When Arkansas State has the ball
Passing
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM defense
- #132
- ARST offense
- #70
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.23
#70
Pass EPA
Rushing
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM defense
- #136
- ARST offense
- #39
EPA comparison
0.27
#136
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ULM defense
- #136
- ARST offense
- #13
Success rates
51%
#136
50%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#137
0.18
#59
EPA / play
1.24
#84
1.16
#103
Explosiveness
11%
#133
14%
#66
Havoc
Current key players
UL MonroeQBAustin Carlisle
312 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
70.1152/729
LBBilly Pullen
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.8
- Coverage
- 78.7
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 55
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.3206/1796
RBZach Palmer-Smith
68 yds · 1 TD · 4.9 YPC
73.9197/1044
SLarell Howling
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.0
- Coverage
- 67.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
72.5308/2969
LBMarcus Ross
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.8
- Coverage
- 70.5
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 35
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.6304/1796
WRJaiden Tucker
1 rec · 52 yds · 0 TD
70.7237/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Jaydon Wright · RBout · 2026-10-03
Wright is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is unlikely to be available against South Alabama on Saturday, October 3rd.
- Derrick Jameson · RBQues. · 2026-10-01
Jameson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the South Alabama on Saturday.
Arkansas StateQBTrey Owens
1043 yds · 5 TD · 4 INT
77.596/729
LBKam Moore
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.234/1796
LBRobert Stevens
25 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 89.5
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.940/1796
SBrandon Greil
16 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.5
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
80.458/2969
CBNoah Flores
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.2
- Coverage
- 81.9
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 108
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.097/2969
RBJames Lee
123 yds · 0 TD · 7.2 YPC
75.5170/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Devin Spencer · RBout · 2026-08-17
Spencer is dealing with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ULMUL Monroe
ARSTArkansas State
vs
Offense
70.1
#99 of 138
QB
Quarterback
77.5
#73 of 138
73.6
#91 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.5
#77 of 138
69.2
#92 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#61 of 138
60.2
#118 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.0
#82 of 138
64.2
#103 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.0
#46 of 138
Defense
70.7
#96 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.6
#77 of 138
71.7
#91 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.9
#37 of 138
63.4
#137 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.6
#21 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
UL Monroe
opponent
Arkansas State
Aaway-14.5
TROYTroy#111+3.7Hhome
Hhome-15.3
ULLouisiana#92-3.0Aaway
Aaway-17.0
USASouth Alabama#96-7.0Hhome
Hhome-9.6
USMSouthern Miss#139-2.0Aaway
Hhome-11.4
LTLouisiana Tech#87-3.9Aaway