Passing
GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST offense
- #12
- ARST defense
- #135
EPA comparison
0.49
#12
0.46
#135
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
GAST 51.6%48.4% ARST
- Projected margin
- GAST by 0.5
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- GAST 19 to ARST 18
- Win probability
- GAST 51.6%
Current team profiles
Georgia State
Arkansas StateWhen Georgia State has the ball
Rushing
GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST offense
- #63
- ARST defense
- #102
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST offense
- #41
- ARST defense
- #129
Success rates
47%
#41
47%
#129
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#32
0.21
#123
EPA / play
1.29
#36
1.20
#63
Explosiveness
11%
#14
11%
#132
Havoc
When Arkansas State has the ball
Passing
GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST defense
- #7
- ARST offense
- #70
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.23
#70
Pass EPA
Rushing
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST defense
- #73
- ARST offense
- #39
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- GAST defense
- #30
- ARST offense
- #13
Success rates
35%
#30
50%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#25
0.18
#59
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.16
#103
Explosiveness
20%
#15
14%
#66
Havoc
Current key players
Georgia StateQBCameran Brown
1157 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
90.322/729
LBXavier Esqillion
18 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 7.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.9
- Coverage
- 62.0
- Pressures
- 25
- Pass-rush snaps
- 93
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 2
94.22/1796
LBKhalid Feliz
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.349/1796
RBDennis Murray Jr.
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
81.164/1044
WRIsaiah Stone
3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TD
75.4119/2069
WRRodshaun Dorsey
18 rec · 276 yds · 6 TD
75.3121/2069
Arkansas StateQBTrey Owens
1043 yds · 5 TD · 4 INT
77.596/729
LBKam Moore
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.234/1796
LBRobert Stevens
25 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 89.5
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.940/1796
SBrandon Greil
16 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.5
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
80.458/2969
CBNoah Flores
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.2
- Coverage
- 81.9
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 108
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.097/2969
RBJames Lee
123 yds · 0 TD · 7.2 YPC
75.5170/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Devin Spencer · RBout · 2026-08-17
Spencer is dealing with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
GASTGeorgia State
ARSTArkansas State
vs
Offense
90.3
#21 of 138
QB
Quarterback
77.5
#73 of 138
77.2
#53 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.5
#77 of 138
74.1
#41 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#61 of 138
64.8
#91 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.0
#82 of 138
72.2
#33 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.0
#46 of 138
Defense
72.4
#78 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.6
#77 of 138
85.7
#2 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.9
#37 of 138
69.8
#101 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.6
#21 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Georgia State
opponent
Arkansas State
Aaway+14.0
KENNKennesaw State#113+3.0Hhome
Hhome+10.1
CCUCoastal Carolina#127+1.6Aaway
Hhome+0.7
ULLouisiana#92-3.0Aaway