Passing
LT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARST offense
- #70
- LT defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.23
#70
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ARST 40.0%60.0% LT
- Projected margin
- LT by 3.9
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- ARST 15 to LT 22
- Win probability
- LT 60.0%
Current team profiles
Arkansas StateLouisiana TechWhen Arkansas State has the ball
Rushing
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARST offense
- #39
- LT defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.18
#39
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARST offense
- #13
- LT defense
- #45
Success rates
50%
#13
38%
#45
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#59
0.05
#63
EPA / play
1.16
#103
1.38
#123
Explosiveness
14%
#66
21%
#9
Havoc
When Louisiana Tech has the ball
Passing
LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARST defense
- #135
- LT offense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.46
#135
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
ARST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARST defense
- #102
- LT offense
- #105
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.02
#105
Rush EPA
Drive success
LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ARST defense
- #129
- LT offense
- #100
Success rates
47%
#129
41%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#123
0.12
#83
EPA / play
1.20
#63
1.40
#6
Explosiveness
11%
#132
16%
#88
Havoc
Current key players
Arkansas StateQBTrey Owens
1043 yds · 5 TD · 4 INT
77.596/729
LBKam Moore
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.234/1796
LBRobert Stevens
25 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 89.5
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.940/1796
SBrandon Greil
16 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.5
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
80.458/2969
CBNoah Flores
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.2
- Coverage
- 81.9
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 108
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.097/2969
RBJames Lee
123 yds · 0 TD · 7.2 YPC
75.5170/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Devin Spencer · RBout · 2026-08-17
Spencer is dealing with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
Louisiana TechQBTrey Kukuk
468 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
79.475/729
TEJoshua Brantley
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 60.0
- Penalties
- 0
83.516/1017
RBDylone Brooks
169 yds · 2 TD · 10.6 YPC
81.065/1044
LBKolbe Fields
30 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.1
- Coverage
- 75.4
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 24
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
81.067/1796
LBZander Hayes
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.3
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.689/1796
DBDamien Richard II
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.3
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.373/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Dane Benedix · WRout · 2026-10-08
Benedix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Trey Kukuk · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Kukuk is battling with an ankle injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaden Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Miller is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ARSTArkansas State
LTLouisiana Tech
vs
Offense
77.5
#73 of 138
QB
Quarterback
79.4
#59 of 138
74.5
#77 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.7
#88 of 138
72.0
#61 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.4
#76 of 138
67.0
#82 of 138
TE
Tight ends
83.5
#16 of 138
71.0
#46 of 138
OL
Offensive line
62.4
#120 of 138
Defense
72.6
#77 of 138
DL
Defensive line
67.6
#128 of 138
77.9
#37 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.9
#26 of 138
76.6
#21 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.6
#64 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Arkansas State
opponent
Louisiana Tech
Aaway-2.0
USMSouthern Miss#139+4.5Hhome
Hhome+3.7
TROYTroy#111-0.4Aaway
Hhome+15.5
ULMUL Monroe#163+11.4Aaway
Aaway-3.0
ULLouisiana#92+1.0Hhome
Hhome-7.0
USASouth Alabama#96-5.2Aaway