Passing
No comparison
- WGA offense
- —
- ARST defense
- #135
EPA comparison
—
0.46
#135
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WGA 2.6%97.4% ARST
- Projected margin
- ARST by 29.9
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- ARST 8 to ARST 51
- Win probability
- ARST 97.4%
FinalWGA 7 · ARST 52model had +29.9, off by 15.1
Current team profiles
West Georgia
Arkansas StateWhen West Georgia has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- WGA offense
- —
- ARST defense
- #102
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- WGA offense
- #98
- ARST defense
- #129
Success rates
41%
#98
47%
#129
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#83
0.21
#123
EPA / play
0.20
#87
1.20
#63
Explosiveness
—
11%
#132
Havoc
When Arkansas State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- WGA defense
- —
- ARST offense
- #70
EPA comparison
—
0.23
#70
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- WGA defense
- —
- ARST offense
- #39
EPA comparison
—
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- WGA defense
- #33
- ARST offense
- #13
Success rates
42%
#33
50%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#61
0.18
#59
EPA / play
0.19
#29
1.16
#103
Explosiveness
—
14%
#66
Havoc
Current key players
West GeorgiaLBLucas Naquin
32 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 13
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.921/1054
LBChidu Bekee
32 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.5
- Coverage
- 76.7
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.924/1054
DLBrandon Roberts
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.9
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.734/1549
DLZack Harris
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.1
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.337/1549
WRJabari Staples
2 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
78.437/1229
DLHolton Harris
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.5
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 31
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.573/1549
Arkansas StateQBTrey Owens
1043 yds · 5 TD · 4 INT
77.596/729
LBKam Moore
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.234/1796
LBRobert Stevens
25 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 89.5
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.940/1796
SBrandon Greil
16 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.5
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
80.458/2969
CBNoah Flores
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.2
- Coverage
- 81.9
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 108
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.097/2969
RBJames Lee
123 yds · 0 TD · 7.2 YPC
75.5170/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Devin Spencer · RBout · 2026-08-17
Spencer is dealing with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WGAWest Georgia
ARSTArkansas State
vs
Offense
72.4
#60 of 125
QB
Quarterback
77.5
#73 of 138
62.8
#118 of 126
RB
Running backs
74.5
#77 of 138
73.4
#23 of 126
WR
Receivers
72.0
#61 of 138
67.9
#44 of 124
TE
Tight ends
67.0
#82 of 138
65.1
#58 of 125
OL
Offensive line
71.0
#46 of 138
Defense
76.8
#16 of 126
DL
Defensive line
72.6
#77 of 138
79.2
#9 of 126
LB
Linebackers
77.9
#37 of 138
70.2
#83 of 126
DB
Secondary
76.6
#21 of 138