Passing
KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KENN offense
- #101
- ARST defense
- #135
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.46
#135
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
KENN 27.9%72.1% ARST
- Projected margin
- ARST by 8.9
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- KENN 11 to ARST 28
- Win probability
- ARST 72.1%
FinalKENN 14 · ARST 17model had +8.9, off by 5.9
Current team profiles
Kennesaw State
Arkansas StateWhen Kennesaw State has the ball
Rushing
KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KENN offense
- #51
- ARST defense
- #102
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KENN offense
- #53
- ARST defense
- #129
Success rates
45%
#53
47%
#129
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#87
0.21
#123
EPA / play
1.10
#126
1.20
#63
Explosiveness
14%
#60
11%
#132
Havoc
When Arkansas State has the ball
Passing
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KENN defense
- #107
- ARST offense
- #70
EPA comparison
0.28
#107
0.23
#70
Pass EPA
Rushing
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KENN defense
- #68
- ARST offense
- #39
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
ARST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- KENN defense
- #98
- ARST offense
- #13
Success rates
43%
#98
50%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#102
0.18
#59
EPA / play
1.08
#16
1.16
#103
Explosiveness
12%
#125
14%
#66
Havoc
Current key players
Kennesaw StateQBRickie Collins
734 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
79.176/729
LBCorey Kelly
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.6
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 6
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
87.922/1796
RBLatrelle Murrell
154 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
81.559/1044
LBZay Wilson
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.9
- Coverage
- 61.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 13
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.1119/1796
WRJavon Rogers
9 rec · 194 yds · 0 TD
74.4136/2069
WRKeon Davis
3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
74.1144/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Zion Booker · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Booker is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be in the lineup against Missouri St. on Wednesday, Octo
- Gerard Bullock Jr. · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Bullock Jr. is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Missouri St. on Wednesday, October
Arkansas StateQBTrey Owens
1043 yds · 5 TD · 4 INT
77.596/729
LBKam Moore
23 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.234/1796
LBRobert Stevens
25 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 89.5
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.940/1796
SBrandon Greil
16 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.5
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 54
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
80.458/2969
CBNoah Flores
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.2
- Coverage
- 81.9
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 108
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.097/2969
RBJames Lee
123 yds · 0 TD · 7.2 YPC
75.5170/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Devin Spencer · RBout · 2026-08-17
Spencer is dealing with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
KENNKennesaw State
ARSTArkansas State
vs
Offense
79.1
#60 of 138
QB
Quarterback
77.5
#73 of 138
78.9
#40 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.5
#77 of 138
72.9
#48 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#61 of 138
52.4
#136 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.0
#82 of 138
59.3
#135 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.0
#46 of 138
Defense
72.2
#82 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.6
#77 of 138
81.1
#16 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.9
#37 of 138
69.8
#102 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.6
#21 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Kennesaw State
opponent
Arkansas State
Hhome-14.0
GASTGeorgia State#81-0.5Hhome
Hhome+47.0
WGAWest Georgia#235+45.0Hhome