CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
WVU 30.0%70.0% TCU
Projected margin
TCU by 8.1
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
WVU 10 to TCU 27
Win probability
TCU 70.0%

Current team profiles

West Virginia
TCU

When West Virginia has the ball

Passing

TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WVU offense
#82
TCU defense
#17
EPA comparison
0.17
#82
-0.01
#17
Pass EPA

Rushing

TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WVU offense
#55
TCU defense
#8
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA

Drive success

TCU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WVU offense
#73
TCU defense
#33
Success rates
43%
#73
36%
#33
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#71
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.30
#32
0.96
#1
Explosiveness
13%
#35
18%
#39
Havoc

When TCU has the ball

Passing

TCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WVU defense
#130
TCU offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.44
#130
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

WVU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WVU defense
#73
TCU offense
#113
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA

Drive success

TCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WVU defense
#122
TCU offense
#57
Success rates
46%
#122
45%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#120
0.13
#77
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.24
#63
Explosiveness
16%
#74
15%
#69
Havoc

Current key players

West Virginia
QBMichael Hawkins Jr.
836 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
90.025/729
WRKedrick Triplett
1 rec · 27 yds · 1 TD
87.815/2069
WRDJ Epps
14 rec · 393 yds · 4 TD
78.172/2069
RBCam Cook
652 yds · 5 TD · 5.5 YPC
76.9137/1044
DBJaCorey Thomas
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.4
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
76.9128/2969
DBGeimere Latimer II
21 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
68
Passer rating allowed
95.9
Missed tackles
6
76.2152/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Martavious Boswell · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Boswell is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, he will miss an extended period.

  • John Neider · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Neider is hampered by an undisclosed injury and he will miss an extended period.

  • Cam Ball · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Ball is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Andre Devine · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Devine is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

TCU
QBJaden Craig
1400 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
79.672/729
TEKari Ashley
25 rec · 374 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
55.0
Run blocking
64.8
Penalties
0
84.113/1017
SKaden McFadden
14 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
92.9
Coverage
67.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
82.838/2969
CBVernon Glover Jr.
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
91.3
Coverage
75.3
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
22.9
Missed tackles
1
79.175/2969
LBHudson Hooper
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.8
Coverage
81.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.3114/1796
LBKeylan Abrams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.3131/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Michael Short · LBout · 2026-10-01

    Short is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Jordan Dwyer · WRout · 2026-09-11

    Dwyer is dealing with a foot injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • J. Pitchford · RBout · 2026-10-01

    Pitchford has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Cougars on Saturday.

  • Kyle Lemmermann · KQues. · 2026-10-01

    Lemmermann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cougars on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WVU
TCU
vs
Offense
90.0
#24 of 138
QB
79.6
#58 of 138
75.6
#67 of 138
RB
74.7
#74 of 138
79.6
#12 of 138
WR
67.7
#112 of 138
63.9
#98 of 138
TE
84.1
#13 of 138
66.6
#81 of 138
OL
69.3
#58 of 138
Defense
67.5
#129 of 138
DL
77.0
#37 of 138
72.5
#83 of 138
LB
76.8
#46 of 138
74.7
#38 of 138
DB
77.8
#10 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

West Virginia
opponent
TCU
H-21.0
ARIZ#25
-6.5A
A-19.6
UTAH#9
-8.8H
A-22.5
TTU#10
-17.0A
H+4.5
KU#31
+10.0H