CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LT 29.3%70.7% BAY
Projected margin
BAY by 8.6
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
LT 11 to BAY 28
Win probability
BAY 70.7%
FinalLT 19 · BAY 36model had +8.6, off by 8.4

Current team profiles

Louisiana Tech
Baylor

When Louisiana Tech has the ball

Passing

BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
LT offense
#47
BAY defense
#20
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.00
#20
Pass EPA

Rushing

BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
LT offense
#105
BAY defense
#2
EPA comparison
0.02
#105
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA

Drive success

BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
LT offense
#100
BAY defense
#13
Success rates
41%
#100
34%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#83
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.40
#6
1.08
#14
Explosiveness
16%
#88
20%
#15
Havoc

When Baylor has the ball

Passing

LT defense
Higher-ranked profile
LT defense
#41
BAY offense
#62
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.25
#62
Pass EPA

Rushing

BAY offense
Higher-ranked profile
LT defense
#93
BAY offense
#70
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.11
#70
Rush EPA

Drive success

LT defense
Higher-ranked profile
LT defense
#45
BAY offense
#102
Success rates
38%
#45
40%
#102
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#63
0.16
#68
EPA / play
1.38
#123
1.37
#15
Explosiveness
21%
#9
15%
#79
Havoc

Current key players

Louisiana Tech
QBTrey Kukuk
468 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
79.475/729
TEJoshua Brantley
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
60.0
Penalties
0
83.516/1017
RBDylone Brooks
169 yds · 2 TD · 10.6 YPC
81.065/1044
LBKolbe Fields
30 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
75.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
81.067/1796
LBZander Hayes
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
79.689/1796
DBDamien Richard II
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.3
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.373/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Dane Benedix · WRout · 2026-10-08

    Benedix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Trey Kukuk · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kukuk is battling with an ankle injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaden Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

Baylor
QBNate Bennett
568 yds · 5 TD · 2 INT
75.6109/729
SMicah Gifford
27 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
92.4
Coverage
85.9
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
61
Passer rating allowed
77.1
Missed tackles
2
90.38/2969
RBRyelan Morris
182 yds · 1 TD · 8.3 YPC
84.741/1044
LBKaleb Arterberry
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.4
Coverage
73.3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.652/1796
LBJJ Shelton
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
82.362/1796
SBo Onu
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
49.7
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
35
Passer rating allowed
68.2
Missed tackles
2
81.842/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Taz Williams Jr. · WRout · 2026-08-21

    Williams who is dealing with a collarbone injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Cole Redding · Sout · 2026-09-05

    Redding has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Ashton Jones · WRQues. · 2026-09-26

    Jones is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Arizona St. on Saturday, October 3rd.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

LT
BAY
vs
Offense
79.4
#59 of 138
QB
75.6
#81 of 138
73.7
#88 of 138
RB
81.3
#28 of 138
70.4
#76 of 138
WR
72.4
#53 of 138
83.5
#16 of 138
TE
77.4
#31 of 138
62.4
#120 of 138
OL
62.7
#117 of 138
Defense
67.6
#128 of 138
DL
74.1
#63 of 138
78.9
#26 of 138
LB
80.5
#18 of 138
72.6
#64 of 138
DB
79.2
#4 of 138
Common opponents