Passing
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #82
- BAY defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.17
#82
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ISU 46.9%53.1% BAY
- Projected margin
- BAY by 1.2
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- ISU 17 to BAY 20
- Win probability
- BAY 53.1%
Current team profiles
Iowa StateBaylorWhen Iowa State has the ball
Rushing
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #63
- BAY defense
- #2
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA
Drive success
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #111
- BAY defense
- #13
Success rates
39%
#111
34%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#79
-0.10
#7
EPA / play
1.30
#31
1.08
#14
Explosiveness
18%
#121
20%
#15
Havoc
When Baylor has the ball
Passing
BAY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #79
- BAY offense
- #62
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
0.25
#62
Pass EPA
Rushing
ISU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #63
- BAY offense
- #70
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.11
#70
Rush EPA
Drive success
ISU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #73
- BAY offense
- #102
Success rates
40%
#73
40%
#102
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#75
0.16
#68
EPA / play
1.25
#86
1.37
#15
Explosiveness
15%
#79
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
Iowa StateQBConnor Moberly
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.4234/729
RBAiden Flora
594 yds · 6 TD · 8.1 YPC
91.04/1044
CBBeni Ngoyi
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 90
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
82.540/2969
CBDavid Coffey
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.9
- Coverage
- 80.9
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 51
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.866/2969
LBTristan Exline
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.590/1796
SDrew Surges
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.5
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 50
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
74.8202/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Carter Pabst · WRout · 2026-10-03
Pabst is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Jordyn Bailey · WRout · 2026-09-01
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear when he will return.
- Dominic Overby · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Overby is dealing with an Knee injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Caden Crawford · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Crawford is hampered due to an undisclosed injury , and it is unclear if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Jaheim Singletary · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Singletary is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rylan Barnes · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Easton Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Miller is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, but he is expected to suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Luke Galer · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Galer is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
BaylorQBNate Bennett
568 yds · 5 TD · 2 INT
75.6109/729
SMicah Gifford
27 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.4
- Coverage
- 85.9
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 61
- Passer rating allowed
- 77.1
- Missed tackles
- 2
90.38/2969
RBRyelan Morris
182 yds · 1 TD · 8.3 YPC
84.741/1044
LBKaleb Arterberry
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.4
- Coverage
- 73.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.652/1796
LBJJ Shelton
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.362/1796
SBo Onu
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.7
- Coverage
- 82.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 35
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
81.842/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Taz Williams Jr. · WRout · 2026-08-21
Williams who is dealing with a collarbone injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Cole Redding · Sout · 2026-09-05
Redding has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Ashton Jones · WRQues. · 2026-09-26
Jones is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Arizona St. on Saturday, October 3rd.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ISUIowa State
BAYBaylor
vs
Offense
63.4
#124 of 138
QB
Quarterback
75.6
#81 of 138
81.6
#25 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.3
#28 of 138
72.0
#63 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.4
#53 of 138
59.6
#124 of 138
TE
Tight ends
77.4
#31 of 138
70.2
#51 of 138
OL
Offensive line
62.7
#117 of 138
Defense
78.3
#22 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.1
#63 of 138
73.3
#77 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.5
#18 of 138
76.8
#19 of 138
DB
Secondary
79.2
#4 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Iowa State
opponent
Baylor
Aaway-14.0
BYUBYU#18-9.8Aaway
Aaway+0.8
UCFUCF#48-0.6Aaway