Passing
BAY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY offense
- #62
- UCF defense
- #68
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.13
#68
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Fri Oct 30 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BAY 48.2%51.8% UCF
- Projected margin
- UCF by 0.6
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- BAY 18 to UCF 19
- Win probability
- UCF 51.8%
Current team profiles
Baylor
UCFWhen Baylor has the ball
Rushing
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY offense
- #70
- UCF defense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.11
#70
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY offense
- #102
- UCF defense
- #67
Success rates
40%
#102
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#68
0.00
#41
EPA / play
1.37
#15
1.10
#22
Explosiveness
15%
#79
15%
#84
Havoc
When UCF has the ball
Passing
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY defense
- #20
- UCF offense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.16
#84
Pass EPA
Rushing
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY defense
- #2
- UCF offense
- #72
EPA comparison
-0.23
#2
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY defense
- #13
- UCF offense
- #94
Success rates
34%
#13
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#7
0.12
#80
EPA / play
1.08
#14
1.29
#33
Explosiveness
20%
#15
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
BaylorQBNate Bennett
568 yds · 5 TD · 2 INT
75.6109/729
SMicah Gifford
27 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.4
- Coverage
- 85.9
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 61
- Passer rating allowed
- 77.1
- Missed tackles
- 2
90.38/2969
RBRyelan Morris
182 yds · 1 TD · 8.3 YPC
84.741/1044
LBKaleb Arterberry
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.4
- Coverage
- 73.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.652/1796
LBJJ Shelton
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.362/1796
SBo Onu
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.7
- Coverage
- 82.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 35
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
81.842/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Taz Williams Jr. · WRout · 2026-08-21
Williams who is dealing with a collarbone injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Cole Redding · Sout · 2026-09-05
Redding has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Ashton Jones · WRQues. · 2026-09-26
Jones is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Arizona St. on Saturday, October 3rd.
UCFQBRocco Marriott
— yds · — TD · — INT
78.385/729
RBAgyeman Addae
74 yds · 1 TD · 18.5 YPC
81.460/1044
DBDemari Henderson
29 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.5
- Coverage
- 72.5
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
79.768/2969
DBJayden Bellamy
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 81
- Passer rating allowed
- 25.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.0122/2969
DBJayden Williams
23 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 16
- Yards allowed
- 161
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
74.5209/2969
WRCaleb Rollerson
4 rec · 38 yds · 1 TD
74.1143/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Lewis Carter · LBout · 2026-10-10
Carter has been placed on the injured list with a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Duane Thomas Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thomas Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Alonza Barnett III · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnett III is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
- Dylan Wade · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Wade is dealing with an Shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will play against BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BAYBaylor
UCFUCF
vs
Offense
75.6
#81 of 138
QB
Quarterback
78.3
#66 of 138
81.3
#28 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.2
#63 of 138
72.4
#53 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.8
#98 of 138
77.4
#31 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.1
#64 of 138
62.7
#117 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.1
#54 of 138
Defense
74.1
#63 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.9
#23 of 138
80.5
#18 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.5
#92 of 138
79.2
#4 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.9
#36 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Baylor
opponent
UCF
Aaway+36.0
ASUArizona State#65+3.8Hhome
Hhome+0.7
TCUTCU#36+8.0Hhome
Aaway-5.2
HOUHouston#13-10.0Aaway
Hhome+10.0
COLOColorado#84+5.4Aaway
Aaway-9.8
BYUBYU#18-6.5Hhome
Aaway+2.7
KUKansas#31+0.7Aaway
Hhome+1.2
ISUIowa State#56-0.8Hhome