Passing
BAY offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY offense
- #62
- HOU defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.22
#93
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
BAY 37.2%62.8% HOU
- Projected margin
- HOU by 5.2
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- BAY 13 to HOU 24
- Win probability
- HOU 62.8%
Current team profiles
Baylor
HoustonWhen Baylor has the ball
Rushing
HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY offense
- #70
- HOU defense
- #33
EPA comparison
0.11
#70
-0.05
#33
Rush EPA
Drive success
HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY offense
- #102
- HOU defense
- #55
Success rates
40%
#102
39%
#55
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#68
0.09
#84
EPA / play
1.37
#15
1.32
#111
Explosiveness
15%
#79
20%
#19
Havoc
When Houston has the ball
Passing
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY defense
- #20
- HOU offense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.55
#6
Pass EPA
Rushing
BAY defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY defense
- #2
- HOU offense
- #21
EPA comparison
-0.23
#2
0.23
#21
Rush EPA
Drive success
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BAY defense
- #13
- HOU offense
- #2
Success rates
34%
#13
55%
#2
Success rate
More metrics
-0.10
#7
0.36
#5
EPA / play
1.08
#14
1.09
#127
Explosiveness
20%
#15
10%
#7
Havoc
Current key players
BaylorQBNate Bennett
568 yds · 5 TD · 2 INT
75.6109/729
SMicah Gifford
27 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.4
- Coverage
- 85.9
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 61
- Passer rating allowed
- 77.1
- Missed tackles
- 2
90.38/2969
RBRyelan Morris
182 yds · 1 TD · 8.3 YPC
84.741/1044
LBKaleb Arterberry
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.4
- Coverage
- 73.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.652/1796
LBJJ Shelton
1 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.362/1796
SBo Onu
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.7
- Coverage
- 82.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 35
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
81.842/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Taz Williams Jr. · WRout · 2026-08-21
Williams who is dealing with a collarbone injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Cole Redding · Sout · 2026-09-05
Redding has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Ashton Jones · WRQues. · 2026-09-26
Jones is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Arizona St. on Saturday, October 3rd.
HoustonQBLuke Carney
— yds · — TD · — INT
90.420/729
WRJack Newhouse
— rec · — yds · — TD
92.44/2069
LBChristian Brathwaite
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.0
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
91.17/1796
RBJohn Hebert
65 yds · 1 TD · 13.0 YPC
88.715/1044
TEWyatt Herbel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 83.4
- Penalties
- 0
88.65/1017
DBJalen Mayo
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 78.7
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.5
- Missed tackles
- 3
83.832/2969
Availability reports · 6
- John Hebert · RBout · 2026-10-05
Hebert is laid up with a lower leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Muizz Tounkara · WRout · 2026-08-11
Tounkara is nursing with a foot injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Jacory Thurman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Thurman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeffrey Strozier Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Strozier is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th
- Evan Noel · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Noel is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- JayShon Ridgle · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Ridgle is dealing with undisclosed injury, it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BAYBaylor
HOUHouston
vs
Offense
75.6
#81 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.4
#19 of 138
81.3
#28 of 138
RB
Running backs
87.3
#4 of 138
72.4
#53 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.3
#22 of 138
77.4
#31 of 138
TE
Tight ends
88.6
#5 of 138
62.7
#117 of 138
OL
Offensive line
76.2
#12 of 138
Defense
74.1
#63 of 138
DL
Defensive line
80.3
#15 of 138
80.5
#18 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.6
#40 of 138
79.2
#4 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.8
#58 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Baylor
opponent
Houston
Hhome-13.7
TTUTexas Tech#10-2.0Aaway
Aaway-0.6
UCFUCF#48+10.0Hhome
Hhome+10.0
COLOColorado#84+10.0Aaway