Passing
OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF offense
- #84
- OKST defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UCF 50.5%49.5% OKST
- Projected margin
- UCF by 0.5
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- UCF 20 to OKST 19
- Win probability
- UCF 50.5%
FinalUCF 28 · OKST 42model had -0.5, off by 14.5
Current team profiles
UCFOklahoma StateWhen UCF has the ball
Rushing
OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF offense
- #72
- OKST defense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.00
#47
Rush EPA
Drive success
OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF offense
- #94
- OKST defense
- #54
Success rates
41%
#94
39%
#54
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#80
0.02
#52
EPA / play
1.29
#33
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
15%
#69
15%
#81
Havoc
When Oklahoma State has the ball
Passing
OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF defense
- #68
- OKST offense
- #31
EPA comparison
0.13
#68
0.37
#31
Pass EPA
Rushing
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF defense
- #22
- OKST offense
- #93
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UCF defense
- #67
- OKST offense
- #18
Success rates
40%
#67
50%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#41
0.17
#63
EPA / play
1.10
#22
1.09
#128
Explosiveness
15%
#84
10%
#9
Havoc
Current key players
UCFQBRocco Marriott
— yds · — TD · — INT
78.385/729
RBAgyeman Addae
74 yds · 1 TD · 18.5 YPC
81.460/1044
DBDemari Henderson
29 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.5
- Coverage
- 72.5
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
79.768/2969
DBJayden Bellamy
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 81
- Passer rating allowed
- 25.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.0122/2969
DBJayden Williams
23 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 16
- Yards allowed
- 161
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
74.5209/2969
WRCaleb Rollerson
4 rec · 38 yds · 1 TD
74.1143/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Lewis Carter · LBout · 2026-10-10
Carter has been placed on the injured list with a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Duane Thomas Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thomas Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Alonza Barnett III · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnett III is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
- Dylan Wade · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Wade is dealing with an Shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will play against BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
Oklahoma StateQBDrew Mestemaker
1271 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
83.155/729
WRWyatt Young
22 rec · 410 yds · 3 TD
84.026/2069
RBKD Jones
54 yds · 1 TD · 7.7 YPC
83.744/1044
LBEthan Wesloski
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 7
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.392/1796
CBMo Horn
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.7
- Coverage
- 82.3
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 66
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.192/2969
LBJack Puckett
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.7
- Coverage
- 60.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.8161/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Jacob Sexton · OGout · 2026-10-10
Sexton is dealing with a leg injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Oscar Hammond · TEout · 2026-09-20
Hammond is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UCFUCF
OKSTOklahoma State
vs
Offense
78.3
#66 of 138
QB
Quarterback
83.1
#48 of 138
76.2
#63 of 138
RB
Running backs
79.5
#38 of 138
68.8
#98 of 138
WR
Receivers
76.0
#30 of 138
70.1
#64 of 138
TE
Tight ends
60.4
#115 of 138
70.1
#54 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.7
#56 of 138
Defense
77.9
#23 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.6
#49 of 138
71.5
#92 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.0
#51 of 138
74.9
#36 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.7
#88 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
UCF
opponent
Oklahoma State
Hhome+3.8
ASUArizona State#65-7.4Aaway
Hhome-0.8
ISUIowa State#56-12.0Aaway
Aaway-10.0
HOUHouston#13-13.1Aaway
Aaway+5.4
COLOColorado#84+4.8Hhome
Aaway+0.7
KUKansas#31+0.1Hhome