CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Thu Sep 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BCU 1.1%98.9% UCF
Projected margin
UCF by 36.7
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
UCF 16 to UCF 57
Win probability
UCF 98.9%
FinalBCU 6 · UCF 73model had +36.7, off by 30.3

Current team profiles

Bethune-Cookman
UCF

When Bethune-Cookman has the ball

Passing

No comparison
BCU offense
—
UCF defense
#68
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#68
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
BCU offense
—
UCF defense
#22
EPA comparison
—
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
BCU offense
#70
UCF defense
#67
Success rates
43%
#70
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#42
0.00
#41
EPA / play
0.21
#45
1.10
#22
Explosiveness
—
15%
#84
Havoc

When UCF has the ball

Passing

No comparison
BCU defense
—
UCF offense
#84
EPA comparison
—
0.16
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
BCU defense
—
UCF offense
#72
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
BCU defense
#72
UCF offense
#94
Success rates
45%
#72
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#41
0.12
#80
EPA / play
0.21
#64
1.29
#33
Explosiveness
—
15%
#69
Havoc

Current key players

Bethune-Cookman
QBAmari Jones
147 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
72.980/370
DLTimothy Gulley
9 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
61
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.238/1549
DBSamuel McCall
9 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.1
Coverage
80.0
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
1
75.2135/1765
DBGabriel Cash
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Missed tackles
0
74.2181/1765
RBTeagan Hackett
41 yds · 0 TD · 4.1 YPC
73.997/631
LBMalik Stinnett
20 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.0
Coverage
67.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.3143/1054
UCF
QBRocco Marriott
— yds · — TD · — INT
78.385/729
RBAgyeman Addae
74 yds · 1 TD · 18.5 YPC
81.460/1044
DBDemari Henderson
29 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
72.5
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
0.7
Missed tackles
5
79.768/2969
DBJayden Bellamy
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.1
Coverage
74.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
81
Passer rating allowed
25.2
Missed tackles
1
77.0122/2969
DBJayden Williams
23 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.2
Coverage
71.9
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
16
Yards allowed
161
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
1
74.5209/2969
WRCaleb Rollerson
4 rec · 38 yds · 1 TD
74.1143/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Lewis Carter · LBout · 2026-10-10

    Carter has been placed on the injured list with a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Duane Thomas Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Thomas Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Alonza Barnett III · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Barnett III is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face BYU on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Dylan Wade · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Wade is dealing with an Shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will play against BYU on Saturday, October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

BCU
UCF
vs
Offense
72.9
#58 of 125
QB
78.3
#66 of 138
73.2
#53 of 126
RB
76.2
#63 of 138
63.8
#112 of 126
WR
68.8
#98 of 138
59.0
#102 of 124
TE
70.1
#64 of 138
64.1
#64 of 125
OL
70.1
#54 of 138
Defense
72.7
#42 of 126
DL
77.9
#23 of 138
67.9
#97 of 126
LB
71.5
#92 of 138
72.9
#42 of 126
DB
74.9
#36 of 138
Common opponents