Passing
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #82
- UCF defense
- #68
EPA comparison
0.17
#82
0.13
#68
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Fri Nov 20 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ISU 51.8%48.2% UCF
- Projected margin
- ISU by 0.8
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- ISU 19 to UCF 18
- Win probability
- ISU 51.8%
Current team profiles
Iowa StateUCFWhen Iowa State has the ball
Rushing
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #63
- UCF defense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
UCF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #111
- UCF defense
- #67
Success rates
39%
#111
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#79
0.00
#41
EPA / play
1.30
#31
1.10
#22
Explosiveness
18%
#121
15%
#84
Havoc
When UCF has the ball
Passing
ISU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #79
- UCF offense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
0.16
#84
Pass EPA
Rushing
ISU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #63
- UCF offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
ISU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #73
- UCF offense
- #94
Success rates
40%
#73
41%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#75
0.12
#80
EPA / play
1.25
#86
1.29
#33
Explosiveness
15%
#79
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
Iowa StateQBConnor Moberly
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.4234/729
RBAiden Flora
594 yds · 6 TD · 8.1 YPC
91.04/1044
CBBeni Ngoyi
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 90
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
82.540/2969
CBDavid Coffey
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.9
- Coverage
- 80.9
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 51
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.866/2969
LBTristan Exline
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.590/1796
SDrew Surges
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.5
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 50
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
74.8202/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Carter Pabst · WRout · 2026-10-03
Pabst is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Jordyn Bailey · WRout · 2026-09-01
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear when he will return.
- Dominic Overby · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Overby is dealing with an Knee injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Caden Crawford · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Crawford is hampered due to an undisclosed injury , and it is unclear if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Jaheim Singletary · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Singletary is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rylan Barnes · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Easton Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Miller is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, but he is expected to suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Luke Galer · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Galer is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
UCFQBRocco Marriott
— yds · — TD · — INT
78.385/729
RBAgyeman Addae
74 yds · 1 TD · 18.5 YPC
81.460/1044
DBDemari Henderson
29 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.5
- Coverage
- 72.5
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
79.768/2969
DBJayden Bellamy
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 81
- Passer rating allowed
- 25.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.0122/2969
DBJayden Williams
23 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 16
- Yards allowed
- 161
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
74.5209/2969
WRCaleb Rollerson
4 rec · 38 yds · 1 TD
74.1143/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Lewis Carter · LBout · 2026-10-10
Carter has been placed on the injured list with a undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Duane Thomas Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thomas Jr. is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Alonza Barnett III · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnett III is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
- Dylan Wade · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Wade is dealing with an Shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will play against BYU on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ISUIowa State
UCFUCF
vs
Offense
63.4
#124 of 138
QB
Quarterback
78.3
#66 of 138
81.6
#25 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.2
#63 of 138
72.0
#63 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.8
#98 of 138
59.6
#124 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.1
#64 of 138
70.2
#51 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.1
#54 of 138
Defense
78.3
#22 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.9
#23 of 138
73.3
#77 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.5
#92 of 138
76.8
#19 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.9
#36 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Iowa State
opponent
UCF
Hhome+12.0
OKSTOklahoma State#52-14.0Aaway
Aaway-14.0
BYUBYU#18-6.5Hhome
Aaway-1.2
BAYBaylor#41+0.6Hhome