CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
GT 25.6%74.4% PITT
Projected margin
PITT by 10.1
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
GT 8 to PITT 29
Win probability
PITT 74.4%

Current team profiles

Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh

When Georgia Tech has the ball

Passing

GT offense
Higher-ranked profile
GT offense
#66
PITT defense
#71
EPA comparison
0.24
#66
0.15
#71
Pass EPA

Rushing

PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
GT offense
#63
PITT defense
#2
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA

Drive success

PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
GT offense
#59
PITT defense
#6
Success rates
45%
#59
32%
#6
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#62
-0.06
#21
EPA / play
1.26
#50
1.41
#130
Explosiveness
15%
#79
18%
#34
Havoc

When Pittsburgh has the ball

Passing

PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
GT defense
#116
PITT offense
#38
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.33
#38
Pass EPA

Rushing

PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
GT defense
#98
PITT offense
#93
EPA comparison
0.11
#98
0.04
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
GT defense
#83
PITT offense
#50
Success rates
42%
#83
45%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#114
0.18
#57
EPA / play
1.29
#102
1.23
#74
Explosiveness
15%
#88
11%
#23
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia Tech
QBAlberto Mendoza
975 yds · 6 TD · 3 INT
78.188/729
LBC.J. Gamble
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.3
Coverage
96.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
94.41/1796
RBJustice Haynes
393 yds · 3 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.667/1044
LBKyle Efford
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
64.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
75.0182/1796
STae Harris
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.7
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
60.0
Missed tackles
5
72.9280/2969
TEKevin Roche Jr.
18 rec · 200 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
70.9
Run blocking
53.4
Penalties
0
72.761/1017
Availability reports · 8
  • Malachi Hosley · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Richardson is battling with a Undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Jordan Walker · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaiven Plummer · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • A.J. Hoffler · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hoffler is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shymeik Jones · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ethan Mackenny · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    MacKenny is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Coi Jean-Noel · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jean-Noel has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Darnell Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

Pittsburgh
QBMason Heintschel
1304 yds · 14 TD · 1 INT
82.460/729
LBJustin Thompson
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.2
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.729/1796
WRBryan Hamilton
1 rec · 36 yds · 1 TD
81.943/2069
DBRashan Murray
5 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.3
Coverage
82.4
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
10.7
Missed tackles
0
81.843/2969
WRTyreek Robinson
5 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD
80.455/2069
DBShawn Lee Jr.
15 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.2
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
4
80.062/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Malik Knight · WRout · 2026-09-26

    Knight is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Mason Heintschel · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Heintschel exited the game with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Boston College on Saturday, Octo

  • Elijah Lagg · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lagg is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Max Hunt · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hunt is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

GT
PITT
vs
Offense
78.1
#68 of 138
QB
82.4
#51 of 138
76.3
#62 of 138
RB
74.1
#81 of 138
67.0
#119 of 138
WR
77.6
#20 of 138
72.7
#47 of 138
TE
70.8
#61 of 138
59.5
#134 of 138
OL
66.7
#80 of 138
Defense
73.8
#64 of 138
DL
84.2
#2 of 138
80.2
#20 of 138
LB
78.8
#29 of 138
69.1
#109 of 138
DB
75.7
#26 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Georgia Tech
opponent
Pittsburgh
A-4.1
VT#46
+2.0A
H-3.6
LOU#27
-1.5A
H+9.6
BC#121
+11.7A