AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 4:00 PM
Away
Bucknell
—
12p
#33Home
Pittsburgh
0-0 · AVR 60.7
46p
BUCK 1%99% PITT
Spread
PITT -33.8
Total
58
Moneyline
BUCK—PITT—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Pittsburgh
LBBraylan Lovelace
89.012/878
DBShawn Lee Jr.
84.748/1427
LBDeMarco Ward
79.067/878
QBMason Heintschel
77.426/308
DBCruce Brookins
76.7130/1427
RBJa'Kyrian Turner
73.840/514

also out — Keith Gouveia (OL)

Projected margin

80% between 17 and 51
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKPITT +33.895% interval: 10.8 to 56.880% interval: 17.1 to 50.5+17+51BUCK wins 1%PITT wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ PITT 46–11 BUCKPITT 42–35 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesPITT 46–32 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesPITT 49–28 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesPITT 53–25 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesPITT 56–21 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesPITT 60–18 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesPITT 63–14 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesPITT 67–11 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesPITT 70–7 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesPITT 39–32 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesPITT 42–28 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesPITT 46–25 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesPITT 49–21 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesPITT 53–18 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesPITT 56–14 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesPITT 60–11 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesPITT 63–7 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesPITT 67–4 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesPITT 35–28 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesPITT 39–25 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesPITT 42–21 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesPITT 46–18 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesPITT 49–14 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesPITT 53–11 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesPITT 56–7 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPITT 60–4 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesPITT 63–0 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesPITT 32–25 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesPITT 35–21 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesPITT 39–18 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesPITT 42–14 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesPITT 46–11 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesPITT 49–7 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesPITT 53–4 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPITT 56–0 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)PITT 28–21 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesPITT 32–18 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesPITT 35–14 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesPITT 39–11 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesPITT 42–7 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesPITT 46–4 BUCK neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesPITT 49–0 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)PITT 25–18 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesPITT 28–14 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesPITT 32–11 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPITT 35–7 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesPITT 39–4 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesPITT 42–0 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)PITT 21–14 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesPITT 25–11 BUCK neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesPITT 28–7 BUCK neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesPITT 32–4 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPITT 35–0 BUCK neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPITT +7PITT +21PITT +35PITT +49PITT +63margin →