Passing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT offense
- #38
- MIA defense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.33
#38
0.02
#30
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
PITT 15.4%84.6% MIA
- Projected margin
- MIA by 16.1
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- PITT 3 to MIA 35
- Win probability
- MIA 84.6%
Current team profiles
PittsburghMiamiWhen Pittsburgh has the ball
Rushing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT offense
- #93
- MIA defense
- #10
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.15
#10
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT offense
- #50
- MIA defense
- #16
Success rates
45%
#50
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#57
-0.06
#19
EPA / play
1.23
#74
1.19
#53
Explosiveness
11%
#23
16%
#70
Havoc
When Miami has the ball
Passing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT defense
- #71
- MIA offense
- #1
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.74
#1
Pass EPA
Rushing
PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT defense
- #2
- MIA offense
- #51
EPA comparison
-0.23
#2
0.15
#51
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PITT defense
- #6
- MIA offense
- #1
Success rates
32%
#6
56%
#1
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#21
0.42
#1
EPA / play
1.41
#130
1.26
#55
Explosiveness
18%
#34
8%
#3
Havoc
Current key players
PittsburghQBMason Heintschel
1304 yds · 14 TD · 1 INT
82.460/729
LBJustin Thompson
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.2
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.729/1796
WRBryan Hamilton
1 rec · 36 yds · 1 TD
81.943/2069
DBRashan Murray
5 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.3
- Coverage
- 82.4
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 19
- Passer rating allowed
- 10.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.843/2969
WRTyreek Robinson
5 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD
80.455/2069
DBShawn Lee Jr.
15 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 89
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
80.062/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Malik Knight · WRout · 2026-09-26
Knight is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Mason Heintschel · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Heintschel exited the game with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Boston College on Saturday, Octo
- Elijah Lagg · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Lagg is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.
- Max Hunt · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Hunt is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.
MiamiQBDarian Mensah
1438 yds · 15 TD · 0 INT
92.82/729
WRMalachi Toney
39 rec · 604 yds · 6 TD
93.03/2069
RBCharMar Brown
97 yds · 1 TD · 7.5 YPC
84.840/1044
TEJack Nickel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 80.9
- Penalties
- 0
84.014/1017
DBEthan O'Connor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 59.2
- Coverage
- 86.8
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 40.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
83.930/2969
DBBryce Fitzgerald
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.5
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
79.372/2969
Availability reports · 5
- CharMar Brown · RBout · 2026-09-21
Brown is dealing with a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joshua Moore · WRout · 2026-09-21
Moore is battling with an upper body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Owen Ruskavich · TEout · 2026-10-01
Ruskavich is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not expected to face against Clemson on Saturday.
- Luka Gilbert · TEout · 2026-08-11
Gilbert has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Mark Fletcher Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-09-27
Fletcher Jr is hampered by upper body injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Clemson on Saturday, October 3th
Position units
Position-unit comparison
PITTPittsburgh
MIAMiami
vs
Offense
82.4
#51 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.8
#2 of 138
74.1
#81 of 138
RB
Running backs
83.8
#16 of 138
77.6
#20 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.8
#8 of 138
70.8
#61 of 138
TE
Tight ends
84.0
#14 of 138
66.7
#80 of 138
OL
Offensive line
77.6
#7 of 138
Defense
84.2
#2 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.6
#76 of 138
78.8
#29 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.0
#97 of 138
75.7
#26 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.2
#14 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Pittsburgh
opponent
Miami
Hhome-4.0
UNCNorth Carolina#60+19.1Aaway
Aaway+2.0
VTVirginia Tech#46+22.1Hhome
Aaway+11.7
BCBoston College#121+30.4Hhome
Hhome-2.9
FSUFlorida State#49+10.5Hhome