Passing
PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU offense
- #72
- PITT defense
- #71
EPA comparison
0.22
#72
0.15
#71
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Fri Nov 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FSU 57.0%43.0% PITT
- Projected margin
- FSU by 2.9
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- FSU 21 to PITT 16
- Win probability
- FSU 57.0%
Current team profiles
Florida StatePittsburghWhen Florida State has the ball
Rushing
PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU offense
- #8
- PITT defense
- #2
EPA comparison
0.28
#8
-0.23
#2
Rush EPA
Drive success
PITT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU offense
- #57
- PITT defense
- #6
Success rates
45%
#57
32%
#6
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#40
-0.06
#21
EPA / play
1.38
#11
1.41
#130
Explosiveness
15%
#74
18%
#34
Havoc
When Pittsburgh has the ball
Passing
PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU defense
- #84
- PITT offense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.33
#38
Pass EPA
Rushing
PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU defense
- #112
- PITT offense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
PITT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU defense
- #88
- PITT offense
- #50
Success rates
42%
#88
45%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#110
0.18
#57
EPA / play
1.31
#106
1.23
#74
Explosiveness
16%
#68
11%
#23
Havoc
Current key players
Florida StateQBAshton Daniels
1111 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
77.794/729
RBOusmane Kromah
477 yds · 5 TD · 5.9 YPC
87.322/1044
LBBlake Nichelson
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.1
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.3175/1796
DBAntonio Cromartie Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 74.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.0234/2969
LBKaron Maycock
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.4
- Coverage
- 64.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 10
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.4312/1796
WRJayvan Boggs
13 rec · 257 yds · 1 TD
71.1225/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Samuel Singleton Jr. · RBout · 2026-09-21
Singleton is managing a lower body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Tae'Shaun Gelsey · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Gelsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
- Devin Carter · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carter is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
- Gavin Markey · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Markey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
PittsburghQBMason Heintschel
1304 yds · 14 TD · 1 INT
82.460/729
LBJustin Thompson
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.2
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.729/1796
WRBryan Hamilton
1 rec · 36 yds · 1 TD
81.943/2069
DBRashan Murray
5 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.3
- Coverage
- 82.4
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 19
- Passer rating allowed
- 10.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
81.843/2969
WRTyreek Robinson
5 rec · 78 yds · 1 TD
80.455/2069
DBShawn Lee Jr.
15 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 89
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
80.062/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Malik Knight · WRout · 2026-09-26
Knight is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Mason Heintschel · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Heintschel exited the game with a leg injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against the Boston College on Saturday, Octo
- Elijah Lagg · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Lagg is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.
- Max Hunt · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Hunt is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will play against Boston College on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FSUFlorida State
PITTPittsburgh
vs
Offense
77.7
#71 of 138
QB
Quarterback
82.4
#51 of 138
82.2
#22 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.1
#81 of 138
68.3
#102 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.6
#20 of 138
61.0
#112 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.8
#61 of 138
66.4
#85 of 138
OL
Offensive line
66.7
#80 of 138
Defense
67.7
#127 of 138
DL
Defensive line
84.2
#2 of 138
72.0
#87 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.8
#29 of 138
68.8
#114 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.7
#26 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Florida State
opponent
Pittsburgh
Aaway-24.0
LOULouisville#27-1.5Aaway
Aaway-10.5
MIAMiami#4-16.1Aaway
Aaway+17.3
BCBoston College#121+11.7Aaway