CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
STAN 24.3%75.7% VT
Projected margin
VT by 10.9
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
STAN 8 to VT 29
Win probability
VT 75.7%

Current team profiles

Stanford
Virginia Tech

When Stanford has the ball

Passing

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN offense
#88
VT defense
#84
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.19
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN offense
#126
VT defense
#16
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
-0.11
#16
Rush EPA

Drive success

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN offense
#126
VT defense
#15
Success rates
37%
#126
34%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#111
0.01
#47
EPA / play
1.20
#91
1.34
#113
Explosiveness
14%
#60
24%
#2
Havoc

When Virginia Tech has the ball

Passing

VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN defense
#136
VT offense
#24
EPA comparison
0.47
#136
0.40
#24
Pass EPA

Rushing

VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN defense
#138
VT offense
#85
EPA comparison
0.32
#138
0.07
#85
Rush EPA

Drive success

VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
STAN defense
#133
VT offense
#43
Success rates
50%
#133
47%
#43
Success rate
More metrics
0.37
#138
0.21
#44
EPA / play
1.35
#117
1.26
#45
Explosiveness
11%
#131
13%
#31
Havoc

Current key players

Stanford
QBDavis Warren
1207 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
70.0153/729
WRNico Brown
10 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD
79.363/2069
RBTuna Altahir
8 yds · 0 TD · 4.0 YPC
75.3173/1044
LBGabe Kaminski
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Coverage
70.9
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
61
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.2253/1796
CBBrandon Nicholson
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.2
Coverage
74.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
57
Passer rating allowed
52.4
Missed tackles
2
72.6298/2969
WRCaden High
17 rec · 236 yds · 3 TD
72.3187/2069
Availability reports · 5
  • Niki Prongos · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Prongos is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aidan Kilstrom · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kilstrom is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Shaw · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shaw is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Daylen Sharper · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sharper is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • London Bironas · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bironas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

Virginia Tech
QBBryce Baker
127 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
85.638/729
TELuke Reynolds
37 rec · 373 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.5
Run blocking
66.8
Penalties
0
86.49/1017
LBGeorge Ballance
7 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
85.237/1796
LBMathieu Lamah
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.1
Coverage
61.5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.645/1796
DBDQ Smith
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
100.0
Missed tackles
0
78.193/2969
RBJeffrey Overton Jr.
455 yds · 4 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.9113/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Kyle Altuner · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Altuner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Meadows · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bill Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, and he is not expected to play against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Stuewe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stuewe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shamarius Peterkin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Peterkin is dealing with a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Takye Heath · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Heath is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

STAN
VT
vs
Offense
70.0
#100 of 138
QB
85.6
#35 of 138
73.3
#92 of 138
RB
76.8
#58 of 138
72.2
#56 of 138
WR
66.4
#125 of 138
57.5
#133 of 138
TE
86.4
#9 of 138
67.0
#79 of 138
OL
72.2
#34 of 138
Defense
65.3
#134 of 138
DL
81.8
#7 of 138
68.4
#119 of 138
LB
83.0
#11 of 138
68.3
#116 of 138
DB
71.4
#77 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Stanford
opponent
Virginia Tech
H-39.0
MIA#4
-22.1A
H+7.0
GT#66
+4.1H
H-16.7
SMU#39
-13.8A
A-4.0
CAL#90
-5.0A