CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ODU 13.6%86.4% VT
Projected margin
VT by 16.1
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
ODU 3 to VT 37
Win probability
VT 86.4%
FinalODU 21 · VT 44model had +16.1, off by 6.9

Current team profiles

Old Dominion
Virginia Tech

When Old Dominion has the ball

Passing

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU offense
#138
VT defense
#84
EPA comparison
-0.19
#138
0.19
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU offense
#134
VT defense
#16
EPA comparison
-0.11
#134
-0.11
#16
Rush EPA

Drive success

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU offense
#138
VT defense
#15
Success rates
31%
#138
34%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
-0.15
#137
0.01
#47
EPA / play
1.20
#90
1.34
#113
Explosiveness
25%
#138
24%
#2
Havoc

When Virginia Tech has the ball

Passing

VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU defense
#55
VT offense
#24
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.40
#24
Pass EPA

Rushing

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU defense
#14
VT offense
#85
EPA comparison
-0.12
#14
0.07
#85
Rush EPA

Drive success

ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ODU defense
#22
VT offense
#43
Success rates
35%
#22
47%
#43
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
0.21
#44
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.26
#45
Explosiveness
18%
#34
13%
#31
Havoc

Current key players

Old Dominion
QBQuinn Henicle
467 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
57.6324/729
LBJackson Forrest
30 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
88.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
36
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
91.85/1796
LBKoa Naotala
31 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.0
Coverage
71.3
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
84.939/1796
SLucas Struck
35 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
80.8
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
122
Passer rating allowed
98.4
Missed tackles
4
80.854/2969
SAsher Horn
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.1
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.9239/2969
CBShaq Leaks
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.9
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
47
Passer rating allowed
97.4
Missed tackles
1
73.1274/2969
Virginia Tech
QBBryce Baker
127 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
85.638/729
TELuke Reynolds
37 rec · 373 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.5
Run blocking
66.8
Penalties
0
86.49/1017
LBGeorge Ballance
7 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
85.237/1796
LBMathieu Lamah
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.1
Coverage
61.5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.645/1796
DBDQ Smith
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
100.0
Missed tackles
0
78.193/2969
RBJeffrey Overton Jr.
455 yds · 4 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.9113/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Kyle Altuner · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Altuner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Meadows · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bill Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, and he is not expected to play against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Stuewe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stuewe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shamarius Peterkin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Peterkin is dealing with a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Takye Heath · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Heath is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ODU
VT
vs
Offense
57.6
#136 of 138
QB
85.6
#35 of 138
67.3
#133 of 138
RB
76.8
#58 of 138
60.7
#137 of 138
WR
66.4
#125 of 138
67.1
#80 of 138
TE
86.4
#9 of 138
59.7
#132 of 138
OL
72.2
#34 of 138
Defense
69.9
#108 of 138
DL
81.8
#7 of 138
85.2
#4 of 138
LB
83.0
#11 of 138
73.4
#51 of 138
DB
71.4
#77 of 138
Common opponents