CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
VT 84.9%15.2% BC
Projected margin
VT by 15.1
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
VT 36 to BC 6
Win probability
VT 84.9%
FinalVT 21 · BC 14model had -15.1, off by 8.1

Current team profiles

Virginia Tech
Boston College

When Virginia Tech has the ball

Passing

VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
VT offense
#24
BC defense
#69
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.14
#69
Pass EPA

Rushing

BC defense
Higher-ranked profile
VT offense
#85
BC defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.07
#85
0.01
#52
Rush EPA

Drive success

VT offense
Higher-ranked profile
VT offense
#43
BC defense
#52
Success rates
47%
#43
39%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#44
0.02
#49
EPA / play
1.26
#45
1.26
#88
Explosiveness
13%
#31
18%
#31
Havoc

When Boston College has the ball

Passing

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
VT defense
#84
BC offense
#114
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.07
#114
Pass EPA

Rushing

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
VT defense
#16
BC offense
#100
EPA comparison
-0.11
#16
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

VT defense
Higher-ranked profile
VT defense
#15
BC offense
#114
Success rates
34%
#15
39%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#47
0.00
#122
EPA / play
1.34
#113
1.25
#57
Explosiveness
24%
#2
20%
#133
Havoc

Current key players

Virginia Tech
QBBryce Baker
127 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
85.638/729
TELuke Reynolds
37 rec · 373 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.5
Run blocking
66.8
Penalties
0
86.49/1017
LBGeorge Ballance
7 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
85.237/1796
LBMathieu Lamah
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.1
Coverage
61.5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.645/1796
DBDQ Smith
10 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
100.0
Missed tackles
0
78.193/2969
RBJeffrey Overton Jr.
455 yds · 4 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.9113/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Kyle Altuner · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Altuner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Meadows · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Meadows is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bill Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury and, and he is not expected to play against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Stuewe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stuewe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shamarius Peterkin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Peterkin is dealing with a foot injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Takye Heath · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Heath is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against the Yellow Jackets on Saturday, October 17th.

Boston College
QBMason McKenzie
967 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
67.1194/729
RBMekhi Dodd
32 yds · 0 TD · 16.0 YPC
78.0109/1044
LBAnthony Palano
43 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.1
Coverage
72.3
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
73.8228/1796
WRLandon Wright
5 rec · 91 yds · 0 TD
72.7175/2069
DBMarcelous Townsend
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
66.0
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
70.9390/2969
DBCameron Martinez
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.4
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
70.6405/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Bo MacCormack III · RBout · 2026-09-19

    MacCormack III is dealing with an shoulder injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Brady Clough · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Clough has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against SMU on Saturday.

  • Reed Swanson · WRprobable · 2026-09-24

    Swanson is managing with a Undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Virginia Tech on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

VT
BC
vs
Offense
85.6
#35 of 138
QB
67.1
#114 of 138
76.8
#58 of 138
RB
69.8
#120 of 138
66.4
#125 of 138
WR
69.2
#90 of 138
86.4
#9 of 138
TE
52.0
#137 of 138
72.2
#34 of 138
OL
59.6
#133 of 138
Defense
81.8
#7 of 138
DL
69.0
#116 of 138
83.0
#11 of 138
LB
67.1
#125 of 138
71.4
#77 of 138
DB
70.1
#96 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Virginia Tech
opponent
Boston College
H+4.1
GT#66
-9.6A
H-2.0
PITT#30
-11.7H
A-22.1
MIA#4
-30.4A
A-13.8
SMU#39
-9.0A