Passing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA offense
- #1
- WAKE defense
- #75
EPA comparison
0.74
#1
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Fri Sep 18 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MIA 87.1%12.9% WAKE
- Projected margin
- MIA by 16.4
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- MIA 35 to WAKE 3
- Win probability
- MIA 87.1%
FinalMIA 33 · WAKE 20model had -16.4, off by 3.4
Current team profiles
Miami
Wake ForestWhen Miami has the ball
Rushing
WAKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA offense
- #51
- WAKE defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA offense
- #1
- WAKE defense
- #105
Success rates
56%
#1
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.42
#1
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.26
#55
1.06
#10
Explosiveness
8%
#3
14%
#96
Havoc
When Wake Forest has the ball
Passing
WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA defense
- #30
- WAKE offense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.02
#30
0.45
#15
Pass EPA
Rushing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA defense
- #10
- WAKE offense
- #30
EPA comparison
-0.15
#10
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIA defense
- #16
- WAKE offense
- #34
Success rates
34%
#16
48%
#34
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#19
0.32
#12
EPA / play
1.19
#53
1.28
#37
Explosiveness
16%
#70
11%
#18
Havoc
Current key players
MiamiQBDarian Mensah
1438 yds · 15 TD · 0 INT
92.82/729
WRMalachi Toney
39 rec · 604 yds · 6 TD
93.03/2069
RBCharMar Brown
97 yds · 1 TD · 7.5 YPC
84.840/1044
TEJack Nickel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 80.9
- Penalties
- 0
84.014/1017
DBEthan O'Connor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 59.2
- Coverage
- 86.8
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 40.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
83.930/2969
DBBryce Fitzgerald
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.5
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
79.372/2969
Availability reports · 5
- CharMar Brown · RBout · 2026-09-21
Brown is dealing with a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joshua Moore · WRout · 2026-09-21
Moore is battling with an upper body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Owen Ruskavich · TEout · 2026-10-01
Ruskavich is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not expected to face against Clemson on Saturday.
- Luka Gilbert · TEout · 2026-08-11
Gilbert has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Mark Fletcher Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-09-27
Fletcher Jr is hampered by upper body injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Clemson on Saturday, October 3th
Wake ForestQBGio Lopez
1377 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
86.035/729
WRDevin Goldston
1 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
87.318/2069
DBSomad Eaddy
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 84.5
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 57
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.821/2969
LBVincent Firenze
38 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.7
- Coverage
- 70.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.742/1796
WRCarlos Hernandez
37 rec · 603 yds · 3 TD
83.333/2069
RBDeuce Lawrence
235 yds · 2 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.886/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Ny Carr · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carr is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the California on Saturday, September 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MIAMiami
WAKEWake Forest
vs
Offense
92.8
#2 of 138
QB
Quarterback
86.0
#33 of 138
83.8
#16 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.0
#96 of 138
80.8
#8 of 138
WR
Receivers
81.1
#6 of 138
84.0
#14 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.3
#78 of 138
77.6
#7 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.1
#67 of 138
Defense
72.6
#76 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.4
#65 of 138
71.0
#97 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.6
#82 of 138
77.2
#14 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.0
#16 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Miami
opponent
Wake Forest
Aaway+39.0
STANStanford#106+54.0Hhome
Hhome+13.6
DUKEDuke#34+1.4Hhome