Passing
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU offense
- #72
- MIA defense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.22
#72
0.02
#30
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Florida State-Miami
Forecast win probability
FSU 25.4%74.6% MIA
- Projected margin
- MIA by 10.5
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- FSU 8 to MIA 29
- Win probability
- MIA 74.6%
Current team profiles
Florida StateMiamiWhen Florida State has the ball
Rushing
FSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU offense
- #8
- MIA defense
- #10
EPA comparison
0.28
#8
-0.15
#10
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU offense
- #57
- MIA defense
- #16
Success rates
45%
#57
34%
#16
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#40
-0.06
#19
EPA / play
1.38
#11
1.19
#53
Explosiveness
15%
#74
16%
#70
Havoc
When Miami has the ball
Passing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU defense
- #84
- MIA offense
- #1
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.74
#1
Pass EPA
Rushing
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU defense
- #112
- MIA offense
- #51
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.15
#51
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FSU defense
- #88
- MIA offense
- #1
Success rates
42%
#88
56%
#1
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#110
0.42
#1
EPA / play
1.31
#106
1.26
#55
Explosiveness
16%
#68
8%
#3
Havoc
Current key players
Florida StateQBAshton Daniels
1111 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
77.794/729
RBOusmane Kromah
477 yds · 5 TD · 5.9 YPC
87.322/1044
LBBlake Nichelson
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.1
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.3175/1796
DBAntonio Cromartie Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 74.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.0234/2969
LBKaron Maycock
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.4
- Coverage
- 64.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 10
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
71.4312/1796
WRJayvan Boggs
13 rec · 257 yds · 1 TD
71.1225/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Samuel Singleton Jr. · RBout · 2026-09-21
Singleton is managing a lower body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Tae'Shaun Gelsey · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Gelsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
- Devin Carter · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carter is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
- Gavin Markey · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Markey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.
MiamiQBDarian Mensah
1438 yds · 15 TD · 0 INT
92.82/729
WRMalachi Toney
39 rec · 604 yds · 6 TD
93.03/2069
RBCharMar Brown
97 yds · 1 TD · 7.5 YPC
84.840/1044
TEJack Nickel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 80.9
- Penalties
- 0
84.014/1017
DBEthan O'Connor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 59.2
- Coverage
- 86.8
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 40.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
83.930/2969
DBBryce Fitzgerald
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.5
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
79.372/2969
Availability reports · 5
- CharMar Brown · RBout · 2026-09-21
Brown is dealing with a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joshua Moore · WRout · 2026-09-21
Moore is battling with an upper body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Owen Ruskavich · TEout · 2026-10-01
Ruskavich is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not expected to face against Clemson on Saturday.
- Luka Gilbert · TEout · 2026-08-11
Gilbert has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Mark Fletcher Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-09-27
Fletcher Jr is hampered by upper body injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against Clemson on Saturday, October 3th
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FSUFlorida State
MIAMiami
vs
Offense
77.7
#71 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.8
#2 of 138
82.2
#22 of 138
RB
Running backs
83.8
#16 of 138
68.3
#102 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.8
#8 of 138
61.0
#112 of 138
TE
Tight ends
84.0
#14 of 138
66.4
#85 of 138
OL
Offensive line
77.6
#7 of 138
Defense
67.7
#127 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.6
#76 of 138
72.0
#87 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.0
#97 of 138
68.8
#114 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.2
#14 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Florida State
opponent
Miami
Hhome+10.8
CLEMClemson#57+28.0Aaway
Aaway+2.9
PITTPittsburgh#30+16.1Hhome
Aaway+17.3
BCBoston College#121+30.4Hhome