AVRCFB Model
All rankings
ACC

Duke

Blue Devils0-09th in ACC
Wallace Wade Stadium · Durham, NC · 40,004
Rank —
39
Rating
58.9
TeamOffense-leaning roster
OffenseUnproven
DefenseUnprovenweak point: defensive line, 108th

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#88Tulane
94%
Sep 537-16p›
2
at#35Illinois
36%
Sep 1227-32p›
3
vs#96Stanford
88%
Sep 1936-20p›
4
vsWilliam & Mary
99%
Sep 2645-13p›
6
at#38Georgia Tech
38%
Oct 1027-31p›
7
vs#61North CarolinaVictory Bell (Duke-UNC)
68%
Oct 1730-24p›
8
at#49Virginia
48%
Oct 2330-30p›
9
vs#79Boston College
78%
Oct 3135-24p›
10
at#34NC State
37%
Nov 727-31p›
11
at#6Miami
11%
Nov 1420-36p›
12
vs#27Clemson
38%
Nov 2126-30p›
13
at#46Wake Forest
48%
Nov 2828-28p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#679
Talent
#5469
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB39th
RB33rd
WR84th
TE18th
OL83rd
DL108th
LB51st
DB100th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named9 ratedavg 52.32 top-252025 ratings
X51.0
J. Nicholas
WR · SR283rd
LT44.1
M. Craycraft
OL · SR159th
LG39.1
N. Grande
OL · SR185th
C34.9
M. Sahakian
OL · SR200th
RG31.0
B. Miller
OL · SR224th
RT—
B. Smith
OL · SO
TE66.8
J. Hasley
TE · SR18th
SL—
J. Solomon
WR · FR
Z50.3
J. Moore
WR · SO303rd
QB70.1
W. Eget
QB · SR40th
RB83.8
N. Sheppard
RB · SO11th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Walker EgetSR
70.1
40th QB
RB
Nate SheppardSO
83.8
11th RB
WR
Javen NicholasSR
51.0
283rd WR
WR
Jayden MooreSO
50.3
303rd WR
TE
Jeremiah HasleySR
66.8
18th TE
Defense
LB
Luke MergottJR
79.0
66th LB
LB
Kendall JohnsonJR
64.0
226th LB
CB
Dylan FlowersSR
85.9
35th DB
S
Patrick Smith-YoungSR
70.0
240th DB
S
Leon Griffin IIIJR
51.4
725th DB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–8% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W11
at#6Miami
0% lose8% win
±1.1
likely move
in odds
13% to win
W10
at#34NC State
0% lose3% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
38% to win
W12
vs#27Clemson
0% lose3% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
39% to win
W8
at#49Virginia
0% lose3% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
47% to win
W6
at#38Georgia Tech
1% lose3% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
39% to win
W13
at#46Wake Forest
1% lose2% win
±0.6
likely move
in odds
48% to win
W7
vs#61North Carolina
0% lose2% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
67% to win
W9
vs#79Boston College
0% lose2% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
75% to win