CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
#49Away
Tulane
0-0 · AVR 60.2
3
Final
#47Home
Duke
0-0 · AVR 60.7
17
Forecast win probability
TULN 33.2%66.8% DUKE
Projected margin
DUKE by 7.0
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
TULN 14 to DUKE 28
Win probability
DUKE 66.8%
FinalTULN 3 · DUKE 17model had +7.0, off by 7.0

Current team profiles

Tulane
Duke

When Tulane has the ball

Passing

DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN offense
#119
DUKE defense
#60
EPA comparison
0.04
#119
0.11
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN offense
#55
DUKE defense
#14
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
-0.12
#14
Rush EPA

Drive success

DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN offense
#133
DUKE defense
#43
Success rates
34%
#133
37%
#43
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#97
0.01
#46
EPA / play
1.57
#1
1.16
#36
Explosiveness
20%
#132
17%
#52
Havoc

When Duke has the ball

Passing

DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN defense
#109
DUKE offense
#28
EPA comparison
0.29
#109
0.39
#28
Pass EPA

Rushing

DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN defense
#107
DUKE offense
#21
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.23
#21
Rush EPA

Drive success

DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
TULN defense
#81
DUKE offense
#60
Success rates
42%
#81
44%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#112
0.29
#19
EPA / play
1.20
#62
1.34
#19
Explosiveness
11%
#135
10%
#7
Havoc

Current key players

Tulane
QBZeon Chriss-Gremillion
64 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.4134/729
RBJohnnie Daniels
168 yds · 2 TD · 3.9 YPC
78.996/1044
LBMakai Williams
20 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.4151/1796
LBJean Claude Joseph III
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.4
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4277/1796
WRZycarl Lewis Jr.
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
72.2189/2069
WRBredell Richardson
7 rec · 85 yds · 0 TD
71.9195/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Jamauri McClure · RBout · 2026-09-27

    McClure is managing a foot injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Zycarl Lewis Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lewis Jr. is bothered by a left injury, and his status is unknown against Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Maurice Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Antwaun Parham · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Parham is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

Duke
QBDan Mahan
126 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
90.618/729
WRPaxon Kettering
1 rec · 32 yds · 0 TD
90.16/2069
RBNate Sheppard
644 yds · 6 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.237/1044
LBElliott Schaper
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.8
Coverage
71.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.250/1796
WRJonah Burton
13 rec · 187 yds · 1 TD
81.942/2069
TEJeremiah Hasley
13 rec · 195 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.1
Run blocking
72.0
Penalties
0
78.332/1017
Availability reports · 3
  • Cosme Salas · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Salas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Lawrence Gardner · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gardner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Qeanu Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is hampered up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TULN
DUKE
vs
Offense
72.4
#94 of 138
QB
90.6
#16 of 138
75.5
#68 of 138
RB
80.8
#32 of 138
69.7
#85 of 138
WR
83.0
#3 of 138
65.0
#89 of 138
TE
78.3
#29 of 138
61.6
#122 of 138
OL
75.4
#16 of 138
Defense
78.4
#21 of 138
DL
81.7
#9 of 138
72.1
#86 of 138
LB
77.8
#38 of 138
67.8
#120 of 138
DB
69.3
#108 of 138
Common opponents