Passing
DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE offense
- #28
- GT defense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.39
#28
0.33
#116
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
DUKE 61.5%38.5% GT
- Projected margin
- DUKE by 4.6
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- DUKE 25 to GT 15
- Win probability
- DUKE 61.5%
FinalDUKE 25 · GT 28model had -4.6, off by 7.6
Current team profiles
Duke
Georgia TechWhen Duke has the ball
Rushing
DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE offense
- #21
- GT defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
0.11
#98
Rush EPA
Drive success
DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE offense
- #60
- GT defense
- #83
Success rates
44%
#60
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#19
0.18
#114
EPA / play
1.34
#19
1.29
#102
Explosiveness
10%
#7
15%
#88
Havoc
When Georgia Tech has the ball
Passing
DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE defense
- #60
- GT offense
- #66
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.24
#66
Pass EPA
Rushing
DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE defense
- #14
- GT offense
- #63
EPA comparison
-0.12
#14
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE defense
- #43
- GT offense
- #59
Success rates
37%
#43
45%
#59
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#46
0.17
#62
EPA / play
1.16
#36
1.26
#50
Explosiveness
17%
#52
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
DukeQBDan Mahan
126 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
90.618/729
WRPaxon Kettering
1 rec · 32 yds · 0 TD
90.16/2069
RBNate Sheppard
644 yds · 6 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.237/1044
LBElliott Schaper
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.8
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.250/1796
WRJonah Burton
13 rec · 187 yds · 1 TD
81.942/2069
TEJeremiah Hasley
13 rec · 195 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.1
- Run blocking
- 72.0
- Penalties
- 0
78.332/1017
Availability reports · 3
- Cosme Salas · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Salas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lawrence Gardner · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Gardner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.
- Qeanu Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Johnson is hampered up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.
Georgia TechQBAlberto Mendoza
975 yds · 6 TD · 3 INT
78.188/729
LBC.J. Gamble
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 53.3
- Coverage
- 96.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
94.41/1796
RBJustice Haynes
393 yds · 3 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.667/1044
LBKyle Efford
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 64.9
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.0182/1796
STae Harris
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.7
- Coverage
- 73.2
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 23
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 5
72.9280/2969
TEKevin Roche Jr.
18 rec · 200 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 70.9
- Run blocking
- 53.4
- Penalties
- 0
72.761/1017
Availability reports · 8
- Malachi Hosley · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Richardson is battling with a Undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob
- Jordan Walker · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Walker is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaiven Plummer · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.
- A.J. Hoffler · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Hoffler is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.
- Shymeik Jones · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Jones is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ethan Mackenny · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
MacKenny is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.
- Coi Jean-Noel · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Jean-Noel has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob
- Darnell Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
DUKEDuke
GTGeorgia Tech
vs
Offense
90.6
#16 of 138
QB
Quarterback
78.1
#68 of 138
80.8
#32 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.3
#62 of 138
83.0
#3 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.0
#119 of 138
78.3
#29 of 138
TE
Tight ends
72.7
#47 of 138
75.4
#16 of 138
OL
Offensive line
59.5
#134 of 138
Defense
81.7
#9 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.8
#64 of 138
77.8
#38 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.2
#20 of 138
69.3
#108 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.1
#109 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Duke
opponent
Georgia Tech
Hhome+28.0
STANStanford#106-7.0Aaway
Hhome+7.8
CLEMClemson#57-7.5Aaway
Hhome+19.5
BCBoston College#121+9.6Hhome
Aaway-1.4
WAKEWake Forest#26-6.0Hhome