CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Fri Nov 20 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CLEM 31.3%68.7% DUKE
Projected margin
DUKE by 7.8
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
CLEM 11 to DUKE 26
Win probability
DUKE 68.7%

Current team profiles

Clemson
Duke

When Clemson has the ball

Passing

DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM offense
#123
DUKE defense
#60
EPA comparison
0.00
#123
0.11
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM offense
#88
DUKE defense
#14
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
-0.12
#14
Rush EPA

Drive success

DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM offense
#129
DUKE defense
#43
Success rates
36%
#129
37%
#43
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#128
0.01
#46
EPA / play
1.21
#88
1.16
#36
Explosiveness
18%
#124
17%
#52
Havoc

When Duke has the ball

Passing

CLEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM defense
#26
DUKE offense
#28
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.39
#28
Pass EPA

Rushing

DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM defense
#128
DUKE offense
#21
EPA comparison
0.21
#128
0.23
#21
Rush EPA

Drive success

DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM defense
#98
DUKE offense
#60
Success rates
43%
#98
44%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#74
0.29
#19
EPA / play
1.18
#51
1.34
#19
Explosiveness
16%
#74
10%
#7
Havoc

Current key players

Clemson
QBTrent Pearman
— yds · — TD · — INT
69.2168/729
LBC.J. Kubah-Taylor
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Coverage
73.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1118/1796
CBAshton Hampton
13 tkl · 9 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.3
Coverage
81.5
Targets allowed
29
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
167
Passer rating allowed
54.8
Missed tackles
6
77.3113/2969
RBDavid Eziomume
11 yds · 1 TD · 11.0 YPC
75.5166/1044
CBBranden Strozier
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
69.4
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
30
Passer rating allowed
138.9
Missed tackles
0
70.7400/2969
CBElliot Washington II
19 tkl · 4 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
69.6
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
166
Passer rating allowed
70.8
Missed tackles
5
69.5472/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • David Eziomume · RBout · 2026-09-28

    Eziomume is liad up with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Corian Gipson · CBout · 2026-09-25

    Gipson is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against California on Friday, September 25th.

  • Peyton Streko · RBout · 2026-08-11

    Streko has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Cole Turner · WRout · 2026-08-21

    Turner is dealing with some personal reasons, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • Keil McGriff · WRout · 2026-09-17

    McGriff is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against North Carolina on Saturday.

  • Jay Haynes · RBout · 2026-10-02

    Haynes is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against Miami on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Christopher Vizzina · QBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Vizzina is dealing with an elbow injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hurricanes on Saturday, October 3rd.

Duke
QBDan Mahan
126 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
90.618/729
WRPaxon Kettering
1 rec · 32 yds · 0 TD
90.16/2069
RBNate Sheppard
644 yds · 6 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.237/1044
LBElliott Schaper
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.8
Coverage
71.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.250/1796
WRJonah Burton
13 rec · 187 yds · 1 TD
81.942/2069
TEJeremiah Hasley
13 rec · 195 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.1
Run blocking
72.0
Penalties
0
78.332/1017
Availability reports · 3
  • Cosme Salas · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Salas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Lawrence Gardner · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gardner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Qeanu Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is hampered up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CLEM
DUKE
vs
Offense
69.2
#105 of 138
QB
90.6
#16 of 138
72.9
#98 of 138
RB
80.8
#32 of 138
66.1
#127 of 138
WR
83.0
#3 of 138
61.4
#108 of 138
TE
78.3
#29 of 138
63.3
#112 of 138
OL
75.4
#16 of 138
Defense
73.1
#69 of 138
DL
81.7
#9 of 138
70.5
#100 of 138
LB
77.8
#38 of 138
70.9
#85 of 138
DB
69.3
#108 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Clemson
opponent
Duke
H-28.0
MIA#4
-13.6A
H+7.5
GT#66
-3.0A
H+8.0
UNC#60
+13.5H