Passing
DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE offense
- #28
- WAKE defense
- #75
EPA comparison
0.39
#28
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
DUKE 45.9%54.1% WAKE
- Projected margin
- WAKE by 1.4
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- DUKE 17 to WAKE 20
- Win probability
- WAKE 54.1%
Current team profiles
Duke
Wake ForestWhen Duke has the ball
Rushing
DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE offense
- #21
- WAKE defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
DUKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE offense
- #60
- WAKE defense
- #105
Success rates
44%
#60
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#19
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.34
#19
1.06
#10
Explosiveness
10%
#7
14%
#96
Havoc
When Wake Forest has the ball
Passing
WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE defense
- #60
- WAKE offense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.45
#15
Pass EPA
Rushing
DUKE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE defense
- #14
- WAKE offense
- #30
EPA comparison
-0.12
#14
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
WAKE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- DUKE defense
- #43
- WAKE offense
- #34
Success rates
37%
#43
48%
#34
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#46
0.32
#12
EPA / play
1.16
#36
1.28
#37
Explosiveness
17%
#52
11%
#18
Havoc
Current key players
DukeQBDan Mahan
126 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
90.618/729
WRPaxon Kettering
1 rec · 32 yds · 0 TD
90.16/2069
RBNate Sheppard
644 yds · 6 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.237/1044
LBElliott Schaper
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.8
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.250/1796
WRJonah Burton
13 rec · 187 yds · 1 TD
81.942/2069
TEJeremiah Hasley
13 rec · 195 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.1
- Run blocking
- 72.0
- Penalties
- 0
78.332/1017
Availability reports · 3
- Cosme Salas · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Salas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lawrence Gardner · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Gardner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.
- Qeanu Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Johnson is hampered up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 17th.
Wake ForestQBGio Lopez
1377 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
86.035/729
WRDevin Goldston
1 rec · 51 yds · 0 TD
87.318/2069
DBSomad Eaddy
12 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.1
- Coverage
- 84.5
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 57
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.821/2969
LBVincent Firenze
38 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.7
- Coverage
- 70.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
84.742/1796
WRCarlos Hernandez
37 rec · 603 yds · 3 TD
83.333/2069
RBDeuce Lawrence
235 yds · 2 TD · 5.0 YPC
79.886/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Ny Carr · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Carr is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the California on Saturday, September 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
DUKEDuke
WAKEWake Forest
vs
Offense
90.6
#16 of 138
QB
Quarterback
86.0
#33 of 138
80.8
#32 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.0
#96 of 138
83.0
#3 of 138
WR
Receivers
81.1
#6 of 138
78.3
#29 of 138
TE
Tight ends
67.3
#78 of 138
75.4
#16 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.1
#67 of 138
Defense
81.7
#9 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.4
#65 of 138
77.8
#38 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.6
#82 of 138
69.3
#108 of 138
DB
Secondary
77.0
#16 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Duke
opponent
Wake Forest
Hhome+28.0
STANStanford#106+54.0Hhome
Aaway+5.2
NCSUNC State#63+24.0Aaway
Aaway-3.0
GTGeorgia Tech#66+6.0Aaway
Aaway+2.2
UVAVirginia#50+6.2Hhome
Aaway-13.6
MIAMiami#4-13.0Hhome