AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 4:00 AM
#27Away
Clemson
0-0 · AVR 65.6
27p
#30Home
Florida State
0-0 · AVR 62.6
29p
CLEM 43%57% FSU
Spread
FSU -2.3
Total
56
Moneyline
CLEM+132FSU-132
Margin σ
14.6

Unit matchups

Pass game vs pass defense, run vs the front — units combined per phase
← CLEM advantageevenFSU advantage →
CLEM throw
CLEM QB #108CLEM WR #31
FSU +10
CLEM run
FSU +8
FSU throw
FSU WR #3FSU protection #74
CLEM +33
FSU run
CLEM +27

Matchups to watch

The individual fights most likely to decide it, biggest names first
when FSU throws
Duce Robinson
vs
Ashton Hampton
X · FSU
CB1 · CLEM
87.7
87.1
dead even
off the edge· hunting Sperry
Xavier Chaplin
vs
Will Heldt
LT · FSU
EDGE · CLEM
68.0
102.2
CLEM +34
when FSU runs
Quintrevion Wisner
vs
Sammy Brown
RB · FSU
MLB · CLEM
68.8
80.8
CLEM +12
when CLEM runs
Chris Johnson Jr.
vs
Blake Nichelson
RB · CLEM
MLB · FSU
68.0
79.5
FSU +11
when CLEM throws
T.J. Moore
vs
Nehemiah Chandler
X · CLEM
CB1 · FSU
71.6
73.6
dead even
off the edge· hunting Denson
Dietrick Pennington
vs
Rylan Kennedy
LT · CLEM
EDGE · FSU
70.7
67.8
dead even

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Clemson
CBAshton Hampton
87.127/1427
SCorey Myrick
84.747/1427
SJerome Carter III
81.873/1427
LBSammy Brown
80.848/878
WRT.J. Moore
71.643/777
RBChris Johnson Jr.
68.068/514

also out — Clemson defensive tackle (DL), Former Clemson corner (CB), P. Streko (RB), Clemson, Clemson defensive back (DB), Clemson freshman standout, Clemson player, Clemson safety (S) +10 more

Florida State
WRDuce Robinson
87.74/777
WRMicahi Danzy
86.98/777
LBBlake Nichelson
79.560/878
LBChris Jones
73.9113/878
DBNehemiah Chandler
73.6168/1427
DBAshlynd Barker
71.8195/1427

also out — Daniel Lyons, Malachi Marshall (QB), DB Transfer, Karson Hobbs, Devin Carter (WR), FSU freshman wide receiver (WR), Mike Norvell (WR), Dexter Carter Speaks +1 more

Projected margin

80% between -15 and 20
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKFSU +2.395% interval: -21.6 to 26.280% interval: -15 to 19.7-15+20CLEM wins 43%FSU wins 57%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ FSU 28–28 CLEMFSU 25–53 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesFSU 28–49 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesFSU 32–46 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesFSU 35–42 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesFSU 39–39 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesFSU 42–35 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesFSU 46–32 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesFSU 49–28 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesFSU 53–25 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesFSU 21–49 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesFSU 25–46 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesFSU 28–42 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesFSU 32–39 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesFSU 35–35 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesFSU 39–32 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesFSU 42–28 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesFSU 46–25 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesFSU 49–21 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesFSU 18–46 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesFSU 21–42 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesFSU 25–39 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesFSU 28–35 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesFSU 32–32 CLEM neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesFSU 35–28 CLEM neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesFSU 39–25 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesFSU 42–21 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesFSU 46–18 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesFSU 14–42 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesFSU 18–39 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesFSU 21–35 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesFSU 25–32 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesFSU 28–28 CLEM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesFSU 32–25 CLEM neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesFSU 35–21 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesFSU 39–18 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesFSU 42–14 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesFSU 11–39 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesFSU 14–35 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesFSU 18–32 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesFSU 21–28 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesFSU 25–25 CLEM neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesFSU 28–21 CLEM neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesFSU 32–18 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesFSU 35–14 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesFSU 39–11 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesFSU 7–35 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesFSU 11–32 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesFSU 14–28 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesFSU 18–25 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesFSU 21–21 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesFSU 25–18 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesFSU 28–14 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesFSU 32–11 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesFSU 35–7 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesFSU 4–32 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesFSU 7–28 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesFSU 11–25 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesFSU 14–21 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesFSU 18–18 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesFSU 21–14 CLEM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesFSU 25–11 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesFSU 28–7 CLEM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesFSU 32–4 CLEM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomes77706356494235totalCLEM +28CLEM +14PKFSU +14FSU +28margin →