CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
FSU 86.4%13.6% BC
Projected margin
FSU by 17.3
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
FSU 36 to BC 1
Win probability
FSU 86.4%

Current team profiles

Florida State
Boston College

When Florida State has the ball

Passing

BC defense
Higher-ranked profile
FSU offense
#72
BC defense
#69
EPA comparison
0.22
#72
0.14
#69
Pass EPA

Rushing

FSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
FSU offense
#8
BC defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.28
#8
0.01
#52
Rush EPA

Drive success

BC defense
Higher-ranked profile
FSU offense
#57
BC defense
#52
Success rates
45%
#57
39%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#40
0.02
#49
EPA / play
1.38
#11
1.26
#88
Explosiveness
15%
#74
18%
#31
Havoc

When Boston College has the ball

Passing

FSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FSU defense
#84
BC offense
#114
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.07
#114
Pass EPA

Rushing

BC offense
Higher-ranked profile
FSU defense
#112
BC offense
#100
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

FSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FSU defense
#88
BC offense
#114
Success rates
42%
#88
39%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#110
0.00
#122
EPA / play
1.31
#106
1.25
#57
Explosiveness
16%
#68
20%
#133
Havoc

Current key players

Florida State
QBAshton Daniels
1111 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
77.794/729
RBOusmane Kromah
477 yds · 5 TD · 5.9 YPC
87.322/1044
LBBlake Nichelson
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.1
Coverage
64.7
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.3175/1796
DBAntonio Cromartie Jr.
4 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
74.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
74.0234/2969
LBKaron Maycock
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.4
Coverage
64.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.4312/1796
WRJayvan Boggs
13 rec · 257 yds · 1 TD
71.1225/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Samuel Singleton Jr. · RBout · 2026-09-21

    Singleton is managing a lower body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Tae'Shaun Gelsey · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Gelsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Devin Carter · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Carter is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Gavin Markey · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Markey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Hurricanes on Saturday, October 17th.

Boston College
QBMason McKenzie
967 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
67.1194/729
RBMekhi Dodd
32 yds · 0 TD · 16.0 YPC
78.0109/1044
LBAnthony Palano
43 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.1
Coverage
72.3
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
73.8228/1796
WRLandon Wright
5 rec · 91 yds · 0 TD
72.7175/2069
DBMarcelous Townsend
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
66.0
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
70.9390/2969
DBCameron Martinez
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.4
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
70.6405/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Bo MacCormack III · RBout · 2026-09-19

    MacCormack III is dealing with an shoulder injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Brady Clough · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Clough has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against SMU on Saturday.

  • Reed Swanson · WRprobable · 2026-09-24

    Swanson is managing with a Undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Virginia Tech on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FSU
BC
vs
Offense
77.7
#71 of 138
QB
67.1
#114 of 138
82.2
#22 of 138
RB
69.8
#120 of 138
68.3
#102 of 138
WR
69.2
#90 of 138
61.0
#112 of 138
TE
52.0
#137 of 138
66.4
#85 of 138
OL
59.6
#133 of 138
Defense
67.7
#127 of 138
DL
69.0
#116 of 138
72.0
#87 of 138
LB
67.1
#125 of 138
68.8
#114 of 138
DB
70.1
#96 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Florida State
opponent
Boston College
A-10.5
MIA#4
-30.4A
A+2.9
PITT#30
-11.7H
H-3.0
SMU#39
-9.0A