Passing
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #19
- MIZ defense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
0.06
#38
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FLA 75.6%24.4% MIZ
- Projected margin
- FLA by 10.5
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- FLA 29 to MIZ 7
- Win probability
- FLA 75.6%
FinalFLA 17 · MIZ 45model had -10.5, off by 38.5
Current team profiles
Florida
MissouriWhen Florida has the ball
Rushing
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #35
- MIZ defense
- #29
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #30
- MIZ defense
- #20
Success rates
48%
#30
35%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
-0.02
#33
EPA / play
1.23
#71
1.34
#114
Explosiveness
12%
#29
22%
#4
Havoc
When Missouri has the ball
Passing
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #98
- MIZ offense
- #19
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.43
#19
Pass EPA
Rushing
FLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #63
- MIZ offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #83
- MIZ offense
- #79
Success rates
42%
#83
43%
#79
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#82
0.20
#46
EPA / play
1.25
#85
1.30
#30
Explosiveness
18%
#30
16%
#93
Havoc
Current key players
FloridaQBAaron Philo
1114 yds · 8 TD · 2 INT
80.170/729
LBKJ Ford
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 96.1
- Coverage
- 44.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
90.112/1796
WRJustin Williams
2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD
89.49/2069
RBJadan Baugh
613 yds · 11 TD · 6.5 YPC
88.617/1044
WRVernell Brown III
17 rec · 271 yds · 2 TD
87.814/2069
TEMicah Jones
1 rec · 6 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 68.8
- Run blocking
- 76.0
- Penalties
- 0
83.715/1017
Availability reports · 6
- Kelvin Jimenez · RBout · 2026-09-05
Jimenez is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Davian Groce · WRout · 2026-09-07
Groce is sidelined with a back injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- V. Brown III · WRQues. · 2026-10-05
Brown III is nursing a knee injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against South Carolina on Saturday.
- Eric Singleton Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-09-28
Singleton Jr is dealing with an ankle injury, but he is expected to be active against Missouri on Saturday.
- London Montgomery · RBprobable · 2026-10-09
Montgomery is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is likely to suit up against the South Carolina on Sunday.
- Bailey Stockton · WRprobable · 2026-10-02
Stockton is dealing with a back injury, and he is likely to be available against Missouri on Saturday, 3rd October.
MissouriQBAustin Simmons
1270 yds · 13 TD · 0 INT
88.428/729
WRCayden Lee
33 rec · 496 yds · 4 TD
91.35/2069
LBRobert Woodyard Jr.
32 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.5
- Coverage
- 55.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.5126/1796
CBJahlil Florence
6 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 44.7
- Coverage
- 81.1
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 9.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.7168/2969
SCJ Bass III
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.5210/2969
SSantana Banner
42 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 155
- Passer rating allowed
- 128.9
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.2218/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Cayden Green · OGout · 2026-09-20
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Gavin Hoffman · TEout · 2026-09-20
Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Ahmad Hardy · RBout · 2026-09-11
Hardy is dealing with a leg injury, and and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Jabari Brady · WRout · 2026-09-20
Brady is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Darris Smith · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against the Ole Miss on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FLAFlorida
MIZMissouri
vs
Offense
80.1
#56 of 138
QB
Quarterback
88.4
#27 of 138
85.5
#9 of 138
RB
Running backs
69.8
#121 of 138
84.5
#1 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.6
#19 of 138
83.7
#15 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.1
#63 of 138
73.7
#23 of 138
OL
Offensive line
77.3
#9 of 138
Defense
82.7
#5 of 138
DL
Defensive line
81.3
#11 of 138
81.7
#12 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.7
#81 of 138
70.3
#91 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.6
#49 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Florida
opponent
Missouri
Hhome+24.0
MISSOle Miss#14-2.5Aaway
Aaway-11.1
TEXTexas#7-2.6Hhome
Aaway+3.4
UKKentucky#40+11.9Hhome
Hhome-0.6
OUOklahoma#19+2.5Hhome
Nneutral-12.6
UGAGeorgia#6-12.1Aaway