CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 12:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SC 25.3%74.7% FLA
Projected margin
FLA by 10.2
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
SC 10 to FLA 31
Win probability
FLA 74.7%
FinalSC 38 · FLA 19model had +10.2, off by 29.2

Current team profiles

South Carolina
Florida

When South Carolina has the ball

Passing

SC offense
Higher-ranked profile
SC offense
#66
FLA defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.24
#66
0.25
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

SC offense
Higher-ranked profile
SC offense
#25
FLA defense
#63
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

SC offense
Higher-ranked profile
SC offense
#40
FLA defense
#83
Success rates
47%
#40
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#42
0.09
#82
EPA / play
1.21
#83
1.25
#85
Explosiveness
13%
#44
18%
#30
Havoc

When Florida has the ball

Passing

FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
SC defense
#121
FLA offense
#19
EPA comparison
0.35
#121
0.43
#19
Pass EPA

Rushing

FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
SC defense
#37
FLA offense
#35
EPA comparison
-0.03
#37
0.19
#35
Rush EPA

Drive success

FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
SC defense
#74
FLA offense
#30
Success rates
41%
#74
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#96
0.28
#22
EPA / play
1.27
#90
1.23
#71
Explosiveness
14%
#101
12%
#29
Havoc

Current key players

South Carolina
QBLaNorris Sellers
1059 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
68.2180/729
DBKosci Barnes
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.4
Coverage
91.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.93/2969
RBIsaiah Augustave
114 yds · 2 TD · 8.1 YPC
87.421/1044
LBJamian Risher Jr.
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
66.6
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.3249/1796
DBKendall Daniels Jr.
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.4
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
1
Passer rating allowed
42.4
Missed tackles
1
71.9333/2969
DBTriston Lewis
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
72.6
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.7346/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Dylan Stewart · DLout · 2026-09-20

    Stewart is dealing with a back injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Jayden Gibson · WRout · 2026-08-17

    Gibson is batting with a lower body injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Jayden Sellers · WRout · 2026-08-17

    Sellers is fighting off a lower body injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Jacarrius Peak · OGQues. · 2026-10-08

    Peak is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Florida on Saturday.

  • Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy · DLQues. · 2026-10-08

    Brownlow-Dindy is nursing with a upper body injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Florida on Saturday.

  • Mazeo Bennett Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Bennett is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Florida on Saturday.

  • Lucian Anderson III · QBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Anderson III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Florida on Saturday.

Florida
QBAaron Philo
1114 yds · 8 TD · 2 INT
80.170/729
LBKJ Ford
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
96.1
Coverage
44.6
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
90.112/1796
WRJustin Williams
2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD
89.49/2069
RBJadan Baugh
613 yds · 11 TD · 6.5 YPC
88.617/1044
WRVernell Brown III
17 rec · 271 yds · 2 TD
87.814/2069
TEMicah Jones
1 rec · 6 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
68.8
Run blocking
76.0
Penalties
0
83.715/1017
Availability reports · 6
  • Kelvin Jimenez · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Jimenez is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Davian Groce · WRout · 2026-09-07

    Groce is sidelined with a back injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • V. Brown III · WRQues. · 2026-10-05

    Brown III is nursing a knee injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against South Carolina on Saturday.

  • Eric Singleton Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-09-28

    Singleton Jr is dealing with an ankle injury, but he is expected to be active against Missouri on Saturday.

  • London Montgomery · RBprobable · 2026-10-09

    Montgomery is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is likely to suit up against the South Carolina on Sunday.

  • Bailey Stockton · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Stockton is dealing with a back injury, and he is likely to be available against Missouri on Saturday, 3rd October.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SC
FLA
vs
Offense
68.2
#110 of 138
QB
80.1
#56 of 138
84.0
#14 of 138
RB
85.5
#9 of 138
64.6
#132 of 138
WR
84.5
#1 of 138
68.6
#76 of 138
TE
83.7
#15 of 138
74.7
#19 of 138
OL
73.7
#23 of 138
Defense
78.9
#18 of 138
DL
82.7
#5 of 138
68.0
#121 of 138
LB
81.7
#12 of 138
75.2
#30 of 138
DB
70.3
#91 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

South Carolina
opponent
Florida
A-8.6
OU#19
-0.6H
H-1.0
UK#40
+3.4A
H-12.6
UGA#6
-12.6N