CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET · neutral site
World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party
Forecast win probability
FLA 21.4%78.6% UGA
Projected margin
UGA by 12.6
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
FLA 6 to UGA 31
Win probability
UGA 78.6%

Current team profiles

Florida
Georgia

When Florida has the ball

Passing

FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
FLA offense
#19
UGA defense
#49
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
0.08
#49
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
FLA offense
#35
UGA defense
#5
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
-0.22
#5
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
FLA offense
#30
UGA defense
#27
Success rates
48%
#30
35%
#27
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
-0.05
#25
EPA / play
1.23
#71
1.23
#76
Explosiveness
12%
#29
19%
#24
Havoc

When Georgia has the ball

Passing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
FLA defense
#98
UGA offense
#3
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.62
#3
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
FLA defense
#63
UGA offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
FLA defense
#83
UGA offense
#6
Success rates
42%
#83
52%
#6
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#82
0.40
#3
EPA / play
1.25
#85
1.28
#38
Explosiveness
18%
#30
12%
#24
Havoc

Current key players

Florida
QBAaron Philo
1114 yds · 8 TD · 2 INT
80.170/729
LBKJ Ford
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
96.1
Coverage
44.6
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
90.112/1796
WRJustin Williams
2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD
89.49/2069
RBJadan Baugh
613 yds · 11 TD · 6.5 YPC
88.617/1044
WRVernell Brown III
17 rec · 271 yds · 2 TD
87.814/2069
TEMicah Jones
1 rec · 6 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
68.8
Run blocking
76.0
Penalties
0
83.715/1017
Availability reports · 6
  • Kelvin Jimenez · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Jimenez is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Davian Groce · WRout · 2026-09-07

    Groce is sidelined with a back injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • V. Brown III · WRQues. · 2026-10-05

    Brown III is nursing a knee injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against South Carolina on Saturday.

  • Eric Singleton Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-09-28

    Singleton Jr is dealing with an ankle injury, but he is expected to be active against Missouri on Saturday.

  • London Montgomery · RBprobable · 2026-10-09

    Montgomery is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is likely to suit up against the South Carolina on Sunday.

  • Bailey Stockton · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Stockton is dealing with a back injury, and he is likely to be available against Missouri on Saturday, 3rd October.

Georgia
QBGunner Stockton
1049 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.53/729
RBDwight Phillips Jr.
160 yds · 1 TD · 8.0 YPC
90.66/1044
TEElyiss Williams
6 rec · 71 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.3
Run blocking
78.3
Penalties
0
88.94/1017
LBChris Cole
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
88.517/1796
DBKJ Bolden
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.5
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
94
Passer rating allowed
83.1
Missed tackles
2
84.229/2969
WRLandon Roldan
4 rec · 80 yds · 1 TD
83.927/2069
Availability reports · 3
  • Dante Dowdell · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Dowdell has been sidelined due an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Isiah Canion · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Conan is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Thomas Blackshear · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Blackshear is dealing with a upper-body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FLA
UGA
vs
Offense
80.1
#56 of 138
QB
92.5
#4 of 138
85.5
#9 of 138
RB
90.5
#2 of 138
84.5
#1 of 138
WR
82.8
#4 of 138
83.7
#15 of 138
TE
88.9
#4 of 138
73.7
#23 of 138
OL
75.5
#15 of 138
Defense
82.7
#5 of 138
DL
78.6
#20 of 138
81.7
#12 of 138
LB
81.2
#15 of 138
70.3
#91 of 138
DB
78.9
#5 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Florida
opponent
Georgia
A-28.0
MIZ#15
+12.1H
H-19.0
SC#38
+12.6A
H-0.6
OU#19
+28.0H
H+4.0
VAN#58
+24.0H
H+24.0
MISS#14
+6.9A
A+5.0
AUB#42
+15.9H